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Articles & Testimony
The Middle East—Read “Energy”—Complicates Ukraine Crisis
A new gas deal with Germany may help, but the Gulf states are taking a risk by intertwining urgent Western energy requests with seemingly tangential regional issues.
Mar 22, 2022
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Declares His New Year’s Resolutions for Iran
His Nowruz speech largely sidestepped foreign policy and the nuclear negotiations, instead focusing on his vision for making the country more self-reliant via a knowledge-based economy.
Mar 22, 2022
◆
Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
U.S. Public Diplomacy in Iran: Cutting Costs, Improving Impact
A more effective (and cost-effective) approach would give Iranians the tools they need to bypass regime monitoring, pare down low-impact television programming, and emphasize popular mobile apps.
Mar 21, 2022
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Arash Aalaei
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Don’t Drop Iran’s Revolutionary Guards from FTO List
On paper, removing the IRGC from just one of several U.S. designation lists would have few if any legal implications—but it's still a terrible idea.
Mar 21, 2022
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Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Nujaba's Regime Change Threat to the Kurdistan Democratic Party
With its first Kurdish-language video, the militia has upped the stakes by hinting at regime change in Iraqi Kurdistan.
Mar 21, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Political Discourse: Manufacturing Hatred and the Scramble for Power
The fractured state of Iraqi politics is evident in the various forms of political discourse utilized by the country’s movements and factions.
Mar 18, 2022
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Abbas Abboud Salem
Articles & Testimony
Book Review: Jordan and America: An Enduring Friendship
Bruce Riedel's latest book has numerous insights on U.S. relations with Amman, but also many unfortunate omissions.
Spring 2022
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Turkey Calls for Recognition of the Taliban’s Islamic Emirate
Ankara has taken a leading role in rehabilitating the group’s image, but many other countries have reached out as well, making eventual recognition a fait accompli.
Mar 17, 2022
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
NATO Counterterrorism Trends: Current and Future Threats
The alliance’s CT chief reflects on what member states, their militaries, and their international partners should focus on as they adapt to constantly evolving terrorist threats at home and abroad.
Mar 17, 2022
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Gabriele Cascone
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
How Much Would Iran Gain Financially from Returning to the JCPOA?
A closer look at what funds would actually be accessible and what impact they would have on Iran’s economy.
Mar 16, 2022
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Katherine Bauer
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
How to Preserve the Autonomy of Northeast Syria
To offset the destabilizing measures coming from Turkey and the Assad axis, Western governments need to offer more development assistance—but in a targeted way that reassures local authorities and minimizes mismanagement.
Mar 15, 2022
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Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
How Putin and NATO Could Get Pulled Into a Disaster in Ukraine
Ukraine is no Syria, and Putin’s miscalculations are astonishing—but the West still faces grave risks of its own, including military escalation, mass refugee flows, and food shortages for Middle Eastern partners.
Mar 15, 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Cross-Border Strikes: A Pattern in Search of a Policy
The latest strike on Iraq points to a brazen, illegal, and dangerous strategy of exercising leverage via missile and drone attacks—a practice that has gone unchecked for too long.
Mar 15, 2022
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Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Hezbollahland
Mapping Dahiya and Lebanon's Shia Community
The southern Beirut suburb encompasses multiple layers of clashing and besieged identities that pose major internal challenges to Hezbollah’s hold over Lebanon.
Mar 14, 2022
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Possibilities and Challenges in Iraq’s Government Formation after the Sadr-Maliki Call
After months of deadlock over who will hold the position of Iraq’s president and prime minister in a laborious process towards government formation, an agreement finally seems possible, and perhaps even likely.
Mar 14, 2022
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Ali Al-Mikdam
Brief Analysis
A British Trip to Secure Extra Saudi Oil?
Boris Johnson’s expected visit reflects both the urgency of the crisis and the chill between Riyadh and the White House.
Mar 14, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Can Turkey and the UAE Help Break Libya’s Deadlock?
Finding a compromise timeline for elections will be delicate, but the recent thaw in relations between Ankara and Abu Dhabi removes a significant external impediment to progress.
Mar 14, 2022
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Ukraine, Russia, and Israel: Mission Improbable but Important
Criticisms and limitations aside, Bennett has kept open a trusted high-level channel to Putin for any party that may need it as the crisis continues.
Mar 12, 2022
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David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Worldwide Water Crises: Israeli Innovations Can Help
The country’s cost-saving advances in drip irrigation, desalination, and water-from-air tech are already helping scores of countries address growing shortages.
Mar 11, 2022
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Shaina Katz
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Asset Test
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkey's Clumsy Juggling Between the United States and Russia
Examining Turkey's track record on responding to diplomatic crises gives insight into its likely posture regarding Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
Mar 10, 2022
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Hasim Tekines
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