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How Biden’s Iran Policy Can Have a Chance to Succeed

No sanctions relief should be granted without nuclear concessions, and a “less for less” deal may be the best way of reaching a viable compromise in the near term.

Dennis Ross

Israel’s Political Churn Continues: Implications for Netanyahu and U.S. Policy

Internal rifts and defections have upended the prime minister’s coalition, and the dynamics of the upcoming election campaign mean that Netanyahu will need to carefully avoid tensions with the Biden administration.

David Makovsky

Articles & Testimony

Presidential Elections in the United States: Political and Economic Consequences for Europe

There is greater American bipartisan consensus on national security strategy than Washington’s fractious politics would indicate, creating ample room for transatlantic cooperation on that front.

Michael Singh

A government solcier in Yemen

Articles & Testimony

Yemen Policy From the Inside Out

The conflict continues because none of the local parties is strong enough to win, weak enough to lose, or incentivized toward peace, but the Biden administration can do something about the latter problem.

Elana DeLozier

The Evolving National Security Threat Landscape: Treasury's Expanding Toolkit

A senior Treasury official explains the department's growing mission to prevent terrorists, proliferators, human rights violators, and corrupt government officials from abusing the global financial system.

Articles & Testimony

Erdogan Will Play Biden, But Stick to Putin

The new U.S. administration will have a brief, early window to exert leverage, but Erdogan’s asymmetric relationship with Moscow may keep him from substantially altering Turkish policy on the S-400 dispute and regional issues.

Soner Cagaptay

Articles & Testimony

The U.S. Should Take a Strategic View Towards Iraq

The country need not be a top foreign policy priority, but the Biden administration would be wise to invest in Iraqi security, unity, and democracy amid competition with Russia, China, and Iran.

Anna Borshchevskaya

The Counterterrorism Role of Homeland Security Investigations

A closer look at the inner workings of HSI, a little-known agency with unique authorities that are instrumental in solving numerous terrorism cases every year.

Louis Rodi

Washington Pushes to End the Qatar Rift

Successful diplomacy could enhance Arab normalization with Israel and boost U.S. efforts to counter Iran, but it is unclear if Riyadh wants to bargain now or wait for Joe Biden.

Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Forecasting U.S.-UAE Relations Under the New Biden Administration

From addressing Iranian threats to mending rifts with Qatar and Turkey, the sound bilateral partnership on regional issues will likely thrive in the Biden era, albeit with some marginal adjustments by both governments.

David Pollock

Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers public remarks.

Khamenei Speech Sets the Boundaries of Engagement with the West

In his first major address since Joe Biden’s election, the Supreme Leader downplayed the prospect of negotiating an end to U.S. sanctions, instead urging Iranian officials to focus on increasing the country’s self-reliance and solving its deep economic problems.

Omer Carmi

In-Depth Reports

Iran's 2021 Presidential Vote and the Tightening of Regime Control

Joe Biden's victory in America may herald a measure of de-escalation with Iran, but the Supreme Leader is unlikely to be moved. Ayatollah Khamenei does not really distinguish between Democratic and Republican intentions—after all, he agreed to a nuclear deal with the Obama administration only to see President Trump tear

Mehdi Khalaji

Articles & Testimony

How Biden Can Restore America’s Role Abroad

Doing so means finding the right mix of hard and soft power, creating new mechanisms with democratic allies, and answering hard questions about various countries and conflicts in the Middle East.

Dennis Ross

Egyptian president Sisi speaks

Cairo’s Concerns About a Biden Presidency

Egyptian leaders fear that his administration will openly confront them on human rights and enable an Islamist resurgence, but the outlook is brighter for engagement on Turkey, Israel, and other issues.

Haisam Hassanein

Articles & Testimony

Biden Can’t Avoid Erdogan, But He Can Keep the U.S.-Turkish Relationship on Track

Turkey’s leader has caused many headaches in Washington in recent years, but letting ties deteriorate further would be disastrous.

Michael Singh
Sinan Ulgen

Articles & Testimony

On Israel-Palestine, Biden Is Not Just Another Version of Obama

A veteran Israeli official explains how the next administration will differ from its predecessors and why immediate consultations between Biden and Netanyahu’s teams are crucial.

Michael Herzog

America Votes, the Middle East Reacts: Views on U.S. Elections from Across the Region

Experts from the Gulf, Egypt, Turkey, and Israel respond to the initial voting results and discuss factors that may help or hinder the next administration.

Abdulrahman al-Rashed
Mohamed Anwar E. al-Sadat
Asli Aydintasbas
David Horovitz

Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking

What Does Iran’s Supreme Leader Expect from the Next U.S. President?

Ayatollah Khamenei is wholly focused on preserving the political system he has so painstakingly built, but trends suggest a shaky Iranian future regardless of who wins the U.S. election.

Mehdi Khalaji

Keeping Down a Diminished Islamic State: The Prospect of an October Surprise Attack

The relatively low risk underscores the importance of Washington’s continued pressure to curtail the jihadist group’s strike capability outside its areas of operation.

Ido Levy

In-Depth Reports

Prospects for Syrian Kurdish Unity: Assessing Local and Regional Dynamics

In October 2019, the U.S. troop withdrawal and subsequent Turkish invasion of northern Syria upended Kurdish plans in the region. But a year later, the major Syrian Kurdish rivals—the Democratic Union Party (PYD) and Kurdish National Council (KNC)—are coming together after a lengthy estrangement. This past June, representatives from the

Sirwan Kajjo

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