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Terrorism

Policy Analysis on Terrorism

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Brief Analysis
After Baghdadi: How the Islamic State Rebounds
The back-to-back deaths of the IS leader and allegedly one of his likely successors mark a significant counterterrorism accomplishment, but neither high-profile deaths nor the territorial loss of the so-called caliphate will translate into the organization’s defeat.
Oct 28, 2019
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  • Katherine Bauer
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
New Gaza Crossing Raises Questions About Blockade Policies
The items being moved from Egypt through Salah al-Din Gate underline the contradictions and long-term unsustainability of the current stalemate regarding Gaza assistance.
Oct 23, 2019
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  • Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State in Syria After the U.S. Withdrawal
Recent U.S. decisions have seemingly ignored the degree to which the group is continuing its insurgent attacks and reorganizing its supporters inside increasingly vulnerable detention facilities.
Oct 23, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Exposing and Sanctioning Human Rights Violations by Iraqi Militias
As new protests and further government crackdowns loom, Washington should call out abuses by Iran-backed entities and sanction the key offenders.
Oct 22, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Wilayat al-Hawl: 'Remaining' and Incubating the Next Islamic State Generation
Even before the United States precipitously withdrew its troops from northern Syria in October 2019, observers fretted over the situation at al-Hawl refugee camp. The camp is populated predominantly by women and children and has drawn attention for its unsanitary conditions, inadequate medical care, lack of education for children, and
Oct 18, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Syria Study Group: Recommendations for U.S. Policy
The following joint statement was submitted to the House Subcommittee on the Middle East, North Africa, and International Terrorism in advance of testimony by Dana Stroul and Michael Singh, the Washington Institute fellows who serve as co-chairs of the bipartisan Syria Study Group. Chairman Deutch, Ranking Member Wilson, and members
Oct 16, 2019
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  • Dana Stroul
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Withdrawal from Syria Makes Countering ISIS More Difficult
A French diplomat weighs in on the high costs of removing the low-cost U.S. presence, from strengthening Iran’s regional position to demolishing the infrastructure that enables European partners to contribute.
Oct 16, 2019
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  • Charles Thépaut
Brief Analysis
Signposts for an Islamic State Comeback in Iraq
Despite the damage wrought by the U.S. withdrawal from Syria, the main drivers of Islamic State resurgence in Iraq can still be restrained by local U.S. engagement, which is now even more vital than before.
Oct 15, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What Is Iran Up To in Deir al-Zour?
Tehran and its proxies have been exerting hard and soft power in northeast Syria, combining military consolidation with economic, social, and religious outreach in order to cement their long-term influence.
Oct 10, 2019
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  • Oula A. Alrifai
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Troop Withdrawal Gives Turkey Access to Syria—and ISIS Space to Rebuild
If the president insists on removing U.S. forces before conditions on the ground are sufficiently stable, he will clear the way for a terrorist resurgence.
Oct 8, 2019
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  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Prioritizes Its Own Interests, Putting Lebanon at Risk
As demonstrators rail against economic problems, corruption, and sectarianism, the group’s role in undermining the public’s financial and physical security is coming under greater scrutiny.
Oct 3, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Helping Iraq Take Charge of Its Command-and-Control Structure
Recent organizational shifts offer a glimmer of hope that Baghdad will stand up to Iranian influence, but implementation will be the test of their actual merit.
Sep 30, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Syria Study Group 2019: Final Report and Recommendations
A comprehensive, bipartisan look at how the U.S. government can still achieve important objectives on various fronts, from countering terrorist groups and Iran to addressing refugee and humanitarian issues.
Sep 24, 2019
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  • Michael Singh
  • Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Seven Black Swans in the Middle East
Events considered impossible tend to happen in the region with unusual frequency, so when will the next one appear?
Sep 24, 2019
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  • Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
Huras al-Din: The Overlooked al-Qaeda Group in Syria
Although it still relies on its stronger rival to operate, the ascendant affiliate has been cementing its presence in Idlib province, attracting other factions to its banner, and potentially setting itself up to lead a future insurgency.
Sep 24, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Defeating al-Qaeda's Shadow Government in Yemen: The Need for Local Governance Reform
Recent U.S. attention in Yemen has focused largely on the war against the Iranian-backed Houthis, but another threat endures: al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula. U.S. efforts to confront AQAP have historically relied on counterterrorism approaches such as air and drone strikes, direct-action raids, and partnerships with indigenous and coalition security
Sep 19, 2019
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  • Daniel Green
Articles & Testimony
The Development of Tunisia’s Domestic Counter-Terrorism Finance Capability
The country is fast becoming a regional leader in meeting global CT norms, developing the necessary toolkits, and integrating its efforts with those of foreign governments.
Sep 10, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
The Campaign Between Wars: How Israel Rethought Its Strategy to Counter Iran’s Malign Regional Influence
The architects of a landmark shift in IDF doctrine explain why the change was necessary, and how it has helped delay full-scale war even while forcefully confronting Tehran’s hegemonic ambitions.
Sep 4, 2019
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  • Gadi Eisenkot
  • Gabi Siboni
Brief Analysis
Yemen’s Fragile Military Balance
The latest string of roller-coaster military developments underlines the need for continued U.S. efforts to guide Saudi, Emirati, and Yemeni officials away from dangerous choices.
Sep 3, 2019
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  • Alex Almeida
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Flaw in Trump’s Maximum Pressure Campaign Toward Iran
Tehran won’t change its behavior without the prospect of real economic relief, coupled with the threat of meaningful consequences for bringing the region to the brink of war.
Aug 29, 2019
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  • Dennis Ross
  • Dana Stroul

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