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Proliferation

Policy Analysis on Proliferation

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Satellite image of the Red Sea region and the Arabian Peninsula
Brief Analysis
Seeing Red: Trade and Threats Shaping Gulf-Horn Relations
The Red Sea is fast becoming a critical economic and security node between the Gulf states and the Horn of Africa, so Washington should work to ensure cooperation, not conflict.
Feb 15, 2019
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  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Iran's Shift to a More Offensive Posture Could Be a Sign of Weakness
Pressures at home and abroad may be driving the regime to embrace new offensive operations and tactics, leaving the door open for a broader offensive strategy if another war erupts in the Middle East.
Feb 7, 2019
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Nuclear Roadmap for 2019: Pushing the JCPOA’s Boundaries
As Tehran’s economic patience grows thinner, it may try to exploit holes in the nuclear deal as a way of pressuring the West, but this strategy could prove to be a double-edged sword.
Jan 30, 2019
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  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Money for Missiles? Reassessing the Saudi Visit to Pakistan
Out of the public view, access to Islamabad’s nuclear and missile technology could be the main agenda item for a bilateral meeting whose reported purpose is financial support.
Jan 29, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
In Damning Report, UN Panel Details War Economy in Yemen
By benefiting from questionable wartime revenue streams and outright corruption, both the Houthi rebels and the U.S.-supported Hadi government are inhibiting a transition to peace.
Jan 25, 2019
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  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Continued Push for a Nuclear-Ready Missile Capability
The latest test launch represents a potential technological milestone for Iran—and a wakeup call for Europe.
Jan 4, 2019
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
In the Scramble to Save the Iran Deal, Don’t Forget Procurement
A new UN report does little to assuage concerns about suspicious Iranian procurements, underscoring the need for allied intelligence agencies to boost their detection efforts.
Dec 19, 2018
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  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
The Big, the Small, and the Needless: Rebalancing Three UN Peacekeeping Missions
A former Israeli general explains why rethinking the missions is crucial to containing Iran’s proxies and reducing waste in international security expenditures.
Dec 14, 2018
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  • Assaf Orion
In-Depth Reports
Iran's Precision Missile Project Moves to Lebanon
Three experts examine Tehran's objectives, Russia's regional goals, and the way these translate to long-term threats and short-term risks for Israel.
Dec 10, 2018
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  • Katherine Bauer
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
The Iran Deal Pullout: How Will Tehran Respond?
What can the Trump administration do to shape Iran’s choices?
Nov 1, 2018
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Getting to Zero Iranian Oil Exports
The world oil market will be the most sensitive indicator of how increased sanctions affect Iran.
Nov 1, 2018
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Procurement Channel (Part 2): The Clandestine Factor
Trying to stop Iran’s nuclear proliferation is a task better suited to allied intelligence services than customs authorities and procurement channels.
Oct 31, 2018
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  • Elana DeLozier
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Procurement Channel (Part 1): Salvaging Nonproliferation Gains While Reimposing Sanctions
Washington can use sanctions as leverage to demand more vigilance from JCPOA signatories even as it allows certain useful procurements.
Oct 30, 2018
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  • Katherine Bauer
  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Russia Giving Syria the S-300 Is More Message Than Menace
The system’s familiarity and potentially minimal, nonintegrated deployment mean that U.S. and Israeli pilots have little to fear from Moscow’s announcement.
Oct 16, 2018
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
How Trump Can Get a Better Deal on Iran
The United States needs to keep Europe on board, go beyond sanctions, and ensure lasting bipartisan support for its new policy.
Oct 10, 2018
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  • Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Russia's Deepening Military Involvement in Syria
Three experts discuss what Moscow's arms deliveries and growing military footprint in Syria mean for American operations in the Levant, U.S.-Russian relations, and Washington's allies in the region.
Oct 5, 2018
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Robert Hamilton
  • Steven Zaloga
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah’s Urban Missile Factories Put Civilians at Risk
Even if exposing missile sites does not convince the group to dismantle them, it would at least counter the narrative that ‘resistance’ is good for the Lebanese people and economy.
Oct 4, 2018
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Syria Downs a Russian Plane: What Next?
Despite Russia’s anger and false media claims about the incident, Moscow is unlikely to demand that Israel halt its campaign against Iran’s foreign military buildup.
Sep 21, 2018
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  • Assaf Orion
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Ending Yemen’s War Without Perpetuating a ‘Southern Hezbollah’
If the West could go back in time and prevent Hezbollah from becoming a powerhouse, they would do so in a heartbeat, so they should not miss a similar opportunity with the Houthis.
Sep 12, 2018
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Rise of the Cyber-Mercenaries
What happens when private Middle Eastern firms have cyberweapons as powerful as those owned by governments?
Sep 1, 2018
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  • Neri Zilber

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