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Proliferation

Policy Analysis on Proliferation

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Video
Brief Analysis
The DEA's Targeting of Hezbollah's Global Criminal Support Network
The head of the Counter-Narcoterrorism Operations Center discusses how the group uses drug trafficking and other schemes to fund its activities, and what the DEA is doing to stop it.
Jan 10, 2020
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  • John Fernandez
Articles & Testimony
How Israel Could Become Part of the U.S.-Iran Story
The IRGC didn’t spend decades and billions building up Iran’s regional satellites for them to simply stand aside if the homeland is attacked, which Trump has vowed to do if the situation escalates further.
Jan 10, 2020
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  • Neri Zilber
In-Depth Reports
Operating in the Gray Zone: Countering Iran's Asymmetric Way of War
The targeted killing of IRGC Qods Force commander Qasem Soleimani marked the dramatic culmination of several months of U.S. tensions with Iran. It has raised the urgent question of how Tehran will respond, and stoked fears of a broader conflict. Since 1979, the Islamic Republic has distinguished itself as perhaps
Jan 7, 2020
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
How the Soleimani Assassination Could Pave the Way for a New Deal with Iran
What if U.S. officials took advantage of the moment and asked a trusted third party like Oman or Switzerland to test whether Tehran is ready for a quiet diplomatic initiative?
Jan 3, 2020
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
How to Reframe the American-Israeli Alliance in a New Age of Great-Power Competition
Now that China has supplanted terrorism on the list of Washington’s foreign policy priorities, Israel’s relationship with Beijing will have to change.
Dec 17, 2019
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  • Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Europe Pushing Back on Iran’s Ballistic Missile Program
Britain, France, and Germany are taking a more proactive role by publicly emphasizing known concerns about the regime’s R&D efforts, but practical mechanisms for ensuring transparency are still needed.
Dec 9, 2019
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
What Happens When Everyone’s Trying to Get Nukes?
Israel’s ‘Begin Doctrine,’ a commitment to prevent rival regional powers from acquiring nuclear weapons, risks becoming unenforceable, but it’s not clear what comes next.
Dec 4, 2019
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  • Jay Solomon
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Must Blunt Russia’s Adventurism in Libya
The deployment of Kremlin-linked mercenaries will make a costly civil war even more difficult to end.
Nov 25, 2019
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  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Domestic and Foreign Response Options to the Protests
The Supreme Leader faces tough choices about who to blame for the protests, and what impact they should have on policy toward the United States.
Nov 21, 2019
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
A Better Iran Deal Is Within Reach
With Tehran testing the limits of European patience, Washington has an opening to forge a united front, offer conditional leeway on some sanctions, and push the Iranians back to the negotiating table.
Nov 15, 2019
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Rouhani’s Shifting Argument for Preserving the JCPOA
Facing grim prospects in Iran’s upcoming elections, the president’s camp is trying to convince hardliners that they need to keep the nuclear deal alive in order to continue expanding their military arsenal and intervening abroad.
Nov 14, 2019
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Nuclear Steps and the New IAEA Chief
The steady weakening by Tehran of its international nuclear commitments will be the most immediate challenge for the next head of the world’s nuclear watchdog.
Oct 30, 2019
◆
  • Simon Henderson
  • Elana DeLozier
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers public remarks.
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Supreme Leader Putting ‘Heroic Flexibility’ Aside
Khamenei’s latest high-profile speech may indicate his growing confidence that Iran can cope with U.S. pressure and set a high bar for resuming talks.
Oct 4, 2019
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Prioritizes Its Own Interests, Putting Lebanon at Risk
As demonstrators rail against economic problems, corruption, and sectarianism, the group’s role in undermining the public’s financial and physical security is coming under greater scrutiny.
Oct 3, 2019
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
How to Present Evidence of Iranian Involvement in the Saudi Attack
By working effectively with the UN, Washington and Riyadh can help foster global consensus on Iran’s culpability, creating a firm basis for multilateral censure that could induce caution in Tehran.
Sep 26, 2019
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Tim Michetti
Brief Analysis
Bringing Diplomacy Back to the Pressure Campaign Against Iran
U.S. leadership must be buttressed not by unrealistic threats, but by deterrent actions and collective diplomacy that constrain Tehran’s room for attacks while defining the path to negotiations.
Sep 23, 2019
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  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Charles Thépaut
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Needs International Partners to Control Iran’s Aggression
President Trump should use his UN speech and side meetings to seek cooperation with European partners and lay the foundation for a ‘better deal’ with Iran down the road.
Sep 23, 2019
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  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Moving the Goal Posts: Iran’s Uranium Enrichment Program
Although technical obstacles may prevent Tehran from fully deploying its advanced centrifuges, it could still augment its enrichment program in ways that should concern the international community.
Sep 19, 2019
◆
  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Air Defense Conundrum: Options for U.S. Policy
Baghdad is under pressure to show it can protect its airspace, but procuring Russian or Iranian equipment might complicate U.S.-Iraq relations without addressing the triggers for Israeli strikes.
Sep 12, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
The North Korean-Israeli Shadow War
Whenever nuclear weapons technology appears in the hands of Israel’s enemies, Pyongyang is usually involved.
Sep 9, 2019
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  • Jay Solomon

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