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North Africa

Policy Analysis on North Africa

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Video
Brief Analysis
Terrorism in France: New and Old Trends in Jihadism
Three experts on European jihadism discuss the root causes and operational significance of recent Islamist violence in France.
Nov 13, 2020
◆
  • Laurence Bindner
  • Hugo Micheron
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Sudan Agreement: Implications of Another Arab-Israel Milestone
The latest deal shows how firm U.S. pressure, quiet contacts with Israel, and domestic political breakthroughs can help Arab governments advance normalization even in the face of popular opposition and past military conflict.
Oct 26, 2020
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
Bandar Speaks Out: The Changing Landscape in the Mideast
Palestinian leaders previously never had to acknowledge their mistakes or account for missed opportunities, preventing them from learning critical lessons and adjusting their behavior.
Oct 19, 2020
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Video
Brief Analysis
Arabs Taking Risks for Peace: Stories from the Frontlines of People-to-People Contact with Israelis
Courageous Arab civic actors discuss the enormous hurdles they have faced in engaging with Israelis and supporting broader social and legislative normalization.
Oct 8, 2020
◆
  • Ismail Sayyid Ahmad
  • Sukina Meshekhis
  • Ahdeya Ahmed Al-Sayed
  • Mohamed Al-Hammadi
  • Joseph Braude
Articles & Testimony
Franco-Turkish Competition Ascendant
Given their sharply diverging views on conflict zones, secularism, and regional spheres of influence, the two states are swiftly becoming NATO’s next diplomatic hotspot.
Sep 23, 2020
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Beyond the Ceasefire in Libya
Publicly committing to a ceasefire is a positive development, but many details still need to be resolved with active U.S. support, especially security arrangements in central Libya and the speedy resumption of oil exports.
Aug 25, 2020
◆
  • Anas El Gomati
  • Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
The Role of Russian Private Military Contractors in Africa
Moscow’s growing use of international legal loopholes in Libya, Sudan, and other countries gives it a worrisome template for chipping away at the global order without confronting the United States directly.
Aug 21, 2020
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
New Egyptian Legislation Aims to Reduce Al-Azhar’s Authority
The latest twist in the long battle for control over Egypt’s religious realm could have profound implications for the state’s ability to regulate—and thus reform—Islamic discourse.
Aug 20, 2020
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Normalization Is Making Cairo Uncomfortable
The UAE’s deal with Israel may render Egypt a junior partner in future peace diplomacy, aggravating its existing frustration over years of financial dependence on the small Gulf state and a string of foreign policy setbacks.
Aug 19, 2020
◆
  • Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Search for Oil May Spill Over into Conflict with Greece
The current flare-up centers on differing interpretations of international law—a situation that should be employing lawyers but is instead deploying navies.
Aug 12, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Moscow and Ankara Will Continue Uneasy Cooperation
Putin set a trap for Erdogan long ago, and because the Turkish leader woke up too late to his predicament, he now has little leverage in the unequal bilateral relationship.
Aug 6, 2020
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Energy Rivalries Face Harsh Economic Realities
Even if acute diplomatic differences are resolved, low natural gas prices will have a cooling effect on regional energy initiatives.
Jul 17, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Russia Looks to Long Term While Navigating Libya Chaos
Moscow has intervened for self-serving reasons and claims neutrality despite clearly picking a side.
Jul 17, 2020
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Political Instability Deepens in Tunisia
The prime minister’s resignation throws the country into political uncertainty at a time of mounting economic challenges, coronavirus fears, social unrest, and potential spillover from the Libya conflict.
Jul 17, 2020
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Sudan on Edge: An Inevitable Fall or a Better Way Ahead?
Washington needs to go fast on Sudan, not slow, frontloading relief to bolster the civilian government while warning regional leaders not to use the country as another geopolitical football.
Jul 10, 2020
◆
  • Alberto Fernandez
Articles & Testimony
The Blue Line: The Israel-Sudan Border? The Challenge of Infiltrators from Lebanon
Although Sudanese workers crossing the border are hardly a terrorist threat, they do pose problems that need to be addressed by Israeli, Lebanese, and international authorities.
Jul 1, 2020
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Russia’s Military Activity in the East Mediterranean Echoes Its Approach to Syria
Although Moscow would face many challenges if it tries to establish permanent offensive and A2AD capabilities in Libya like it has in Syria, its covert actions thus far show a commitment to playing the long game against NATO in the East Mediterranean.
Jun 17, 2020
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Shifting Tides in Libya Require More Active U.S. Involvement
Directly engaging all parties is essential if Washington hopes to advance a national dialogue and prevent a Turkish-Russian accommodation that establishes their presence in Libya indefinitely.
Jun 10, 2020
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
What Turned the Battle for Tripoli?
A boost in Turkish drones and air defense systems enabled forces in Tripoli to establish local air superiority and ease pressure on the capital, leaving each side’s foreign patrons with tough choices about whether to escalate further or take steps to halt the fighting.
May 6, 2020
◆
  • Ben Fishman
  • Conor Hiney
Articles & Testimony
Covid-19 and Middle East Proxy Wars: The Storm Before the Calm?
Although the pandemic’s full regional consequences remain murky, some early trends are becoming clear, from caution among certain proxy patrons, to escalation among others, and a looming financial crunch for all.
Apr 29, 2020
◆
  • David Pollock

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