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Military and Security

Policy Analysis on Military and Security

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Articles & Testimony
The Russian Way of War in Syria: Threat Perception and Approaches to Counterterrorism
Putin’s Russia and the West have never shared the same goals or threat perceptions regarding terrorism and other regional issues, so Washington should craft its Syria policy accordingly.
Sep 10, 2020
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Russian-Iranian Tensions in Deir al-Zour
To prevent the two rivals from expanding their influence in east Syria, the coalition needs to exploit their simmering disunity, empower its partners on the ground, and establish stronger ties with select tribal and community leaders.
Sep 4, 2020
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  • Oula A. Alrifai
  • Ali Alleile
Brief Analysis
Saudi Military Chief Accused of Corruption
The general’s firing will prompt speculation about changes in Yemen policy and royal family opposition to the crown prince.
Sep 1, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
European Counterterrorism in the COVID Era: Views from Europol
A senior Europol official discusses the increasingly complex radicalization and terrorism situation facing Europe, and how the pandemic is creating new risks on both fronts.
Sep 1, 2020
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  • Wil van Gemert
Articles & Testimony
Peace for Warplanes?
How domestic and foreign disputes over the potential sale of F-35 jets to the UAE could complicate the country's normalization deal with Israel.
Aug 31, 2020
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  • Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Breaking Hezbollah’s ‘Golden Rule’
Many details regarding the modus operandi of the group's external terrorist operations wing are being made public here for the first time, including communications techniques, travel patterns, training programs, pay scale, and more.
Aug 31, 2020
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran Flaunts New Missile and Jet Engine Technology
Although many of the recently unveiled systems are foreign copies or have unproven capabilities, they show a substantial indigenous development capacity that will only accelerate once the UN ban on weapons sales is lifted—even if past sanctions snap back into action.
Aug 28, 2020
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
The IRGC Lifts Off: Implications of Iran's Satellite Launch
In April 2020, the IRGC launched its first domestically made satellite, the Nour-1, into orbit. The launch showed the risks of lifting arms restrictions on Iran, a move supported by potential weapons trade partners Russia and China but vehemently opposed by the United States. Ending the embargo could facilitate Tehran’s
Aug 27, 2020
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Beyond the Ceasefire in Libya
Publicly committing to a ceasefire is a positive development, but many details still need to be resolved with active U.S. support, especially security arrangements in central Libya and the speedy resumption of oil exports.
Aug 25, 2020
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  • Anas El Gomati
  • Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
The Role of Russian Private Military Contractors in Africa
Moscow’s growing use of international legal loopholes in Libya, Sudan, and other countries gives it a worrisome template for chipping away at the global order without confronting the United States directly.
Aug 21, 2020
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Saudi-Pakistan Rift Develops Over India
Growing tensions between the two allies have both Islamic and nuclear angles.
Aug 21, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Cautious Response to Washington’s Snapback Threat
Instead of playing hardball, the entire regime is seemingly embracing the more prudent approach of disregarding the U.S. threat and exploiting the resultant diplomatic clash for political gains.
Aug 21, 2020
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  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
Training Better Arab Armies
American security force assistance missions to Arab states have had only limited success, in large part because they do not train local units to fight in a manner well-suited to their cultural preferences and operational requirements.
Aug 20, 2020
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Kenneth Pollack
Brief Analysis
The Beirut Disaster: Implications for Lebanon and U.S. Policy
Four experts discuss the deadly Beirut explosion as it relates to the Lebanese political system, Hezbollah hegemony, and foreign aid.
Aug 18, 2020
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  • Saleh Machnouk Saleh Machnouk
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Charles Thépaut
Articles & Testimony
Conflict with Small Powers Derails U.S. Foreign Policy: The Case for Strategic Discipline
Although containing or deterring minor powers can help shape the behavior of great powers, conflicts with these smaller foes have proliferated in the twenty-first century, tying down resources and attention needed elsewhere.
Aug 12, 2020
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Iran Applies Maximum Power to Annual IRGC Naval Exercise
Coming soon after Western naval redeployments in the Gulf and explosions at sensitive Iranian sites, the recent drills illustrate the regime’s eagerness to reassert its deterrence by showing off new weapons and capabilities.
Aug 10, 2020
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Moscow and Ankara Will Continue Uneasy Cooperation
Putin set a trap for Erdogan long ago, and because the Turkish leader woke up too late to his predicament, he now has little leverage in the unequal bilateral relationship.
Aug 6, 2020
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Is China Helping Saudi Arabia to Build a Nuclear Bomb?
Riyadh has now ticked the first two boxes on the enrichment checklist and might already be working on the others.
Aug 5, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
How Might Iran Respond to Foreign Sabotage?
Given the dilemmas involved in retaliating for recent acts of sabotage and the death of Qasem Soleimani, Iran will likely defer any substantial military action against U.S. targets until shortly before or after the November election.
Aug 4, 2020
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Introducing the Hezbollah Worldwide Map and Timeline
This multimedia tool -- easily the most comprehensive of its kind -- illuminates the full range of Hezbollah's activities, from travel routes and aliases to larger themes related to the organization's founding, development, and relationship with key state sponsors.
Aug 2, 2020
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  • Matthew Levitt

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