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Military and Security

Policy Analysis on Military and Security

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Brief Analysis
Houthi Terrorism Designation More Likely to Deliver Famine and Entanglement Than Leverage
To stave off a potential humanitarian disaster in Yemen, keep communication lines open, and avoid getting drawn into the war, the Trump administration should not designate the Houthis.
Nov 25, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
How Biden Can Restore America’s Role Abroad
Doing so means finding the right mix of hard and soft power, creating new mechanisms with democratic allies, and answering hard questions about various countries and conflicts in the Middle East.
Nov 20, 2020
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Violence Erupts in Western Sahara
If the long-frozen conflict descends into full-blown war, it would undermine U.S. interests in one of the few relatively stable corners of the Arab world.
Nov 17, 2020
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  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Latest Iran Nuclear Inspection Report Reveals Multiple Concerns
Headlines about increased stockpiles of enriched uranium are only half the story.
Nov 16, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Russia and Turkey in Nagorno-Karabakh: A Recipe for Long-Term Instability
Neither Moscow nor Ankara is interested in genuine peace; they are using the disputed region to their own ends, and Russia remains the only actor who can talk to all sides.
Oct 30, 2020
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Back into the Shadows? The Future of Kata'ib Hezbollah and Iran's Other Proxies in Iraq
History may be repeating itself as Tehran develops new, smaller, and more secure Iraqi cells reminiscent of the formation of KH itself.
Oct 23, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Tehran Eyes Lifting of Arms Embargo
The regime senses a major win in the forthcoming move, perceiving an isolated and weakened United States and opportunities for escalation on many fronts.
Oct 16, 2020
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
The Yemen Matrix: Untangling the Relationships That Drive the War
An expert on the Gulf country, joined by a former U.S. ambassador, discusses her groundbreaking interactive guide to the players and dynamics underlying its conflict.
Oct 14, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
  • Stephen Seche
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah’s Secrets Explode—and Are Covered Up—Again
Hezbollah leaders are still trying to conceal their strategy of hiding military assets in civilian areas, but each self-explosion and Israeli exposure reveals more about the group's political plight, its persistent quest for precision missiles, and its skill with information operations.
Oct 8, 2020
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Video
Brief Analysis
An October Surprise with Iran? Calculations and Policy Implications
Three experts on Iranian politics and strategy assess the possibilities of last-minute dramatic developments between the two adversaries before the U.S. election.
Oct 8, 2020
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
  • Ariane Tabatabai
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Protests and Regime Suppression in Post-Revolutionary Iran
Since its formation in 1979, the Islamic Republic has seen multiple cycles of unrest, from ethnic movements in the early 1980s to urban riots in the early 1990s, student protests spanning 1999-2003, the Green Movement response to the 2009 election, and the December 2017-January 2018 upheaval in smaller cities and
Oct 8, 2020
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  • Saeid Golkar
Brief Analysis
Flare-Up in Nagorno-Karabakh: The Iranian Dimension
New hostilities between Armenia and Azerbaijan are forcing Tehran to balance domestic demographic concerns and its desire to expand military ties with Yerevan.
Oct 6, 2020
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Were Iran and the United States Really ‘On the Brink’? Observations on Gray Zone Conflict
Tehran’s entire modus operandi is designed to pressure Washington and its allies but avoid all-out conflict, and distorting this reality so close to a U.S. election will only hinder an effective policy response.
Sep 27, 2020
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Pushing Back on Iraqi Militias: Weighing U.S. Options
Although halting the escalation of militia attacks on American personnel is crucial, simply evacuating the Baghdad embassy and downscaling the bilateral relationship would allow Iran to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat.
Sep 25, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
How to Balance Competing Priorities with an F-35 Sale to the UAE
The sale offers strategic opportunities at a time of pivoting U.S. policy, and the concerns raised in Washington and abroad can be addressed through deliberate technical limitations, financing restrictions, offsetting benefits for Israel, and other measures.
Sep 23, 2020
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  • Christine McVann
Test - The supreme Leader
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Uses Iraq War Anniversary to Reinforce Iranian Steadfastness
Rather than explicitly addressing Washington’s reactivation of sanctions, the Supreme Leader sought to convince domestic listeners that Iran can ‘resist’ external pressures and the latest COVID-19 wave on its own.
Sep 22, 2020
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  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Britain in Oman: Washington’s Strategic Partner
London is investing heavily in supporting its relationship with Muscat, not least because Omani mediation can often be more effective than its own in fostering regional stability and security.
Sep 18, 2020
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  • Jonathan Campbell-James
Maps & Graphics
Yemen Matrix: Allies & Adversaries
The Yemen Matrix is a guide to the relationships between the core actors involved in the country’s various conflicts. It is meant to be a starter resource for new analysts, a quick-access volume for policymakers, and a refresher for experts.
Sep 17, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
The F-35 Triangle: America, Israel, the United Arab Emirates
Selling the advanced U.S. jet to a foreign government ought to signal the highest confidence in that country’s warfighting capabilities, decisionmaking on the use of force, and commitment to protecting sensitive technology, but the UAE’s record on each of these issues is mixed.
Sep 15, 2020
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  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Kadhimi’s Rolling Reshuffle (Part 1): Military Command Changes
To strengthen Iraq’s capacity for resisting militia and foreign influence, Washington should keep supporting the campaign to remake the military one commander at a time.
Sep 14, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
  • Alex Almeida

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