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Iran

Policy Analysis on Iran

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Brief Analysis
Iran’s New Budget Perpetuates Economic Challenges
The president is proposing de facto cuts to salaries and subsidies as well as more money for the military, while avoiding the tough reforms Iran’s economy needs.
Jan 12, 2023
◆
  • Henry Rome
Israeli prime minister Natanyahu and U.S. president Biden in Jerusalem in 2021 - Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu’s Potential Friction Points with Biden (Part 2): Iran, Saudi Arabia, Ukraine, and Domestic Issues
The prime minister will need a great deal of U.S. military and diplomatic assistance to achieve his foreign policy imperatives—a fact he should not forget when mulling potentially divisive moves at home.
Jan 10, 2023
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  • David Makovsky
Russian President Putin and Iranian President Raisi meet in Tehran in 2022 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Making Iran’s Support for Russia More Costly
To foster doubts about the wisdom of deepening the relationship, Washington should stoke longstanding Iranian skepticism toward Russia and work with Europe to sanction additional entities involved in the drone program.
Jan 5, 2023
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  • Henry Rome
Iran Gen Z
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iranian Counterculture and Gen Z
Decades of underground counterculture have led to an informed and interconnected youth in Iran, now eager for freedom and change.
Jan 4, 2023
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  • Arash Aalaei
Iranian and Russian flags on a table
Brief Analysis
Deepening Russia-Iran Relationship Should Worry Israel
The Kremlin will have many ways to thank Iran for supporting its war against Ukraine.
Dec 28, 2022
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  • Nadav Pollak
Crown Prince Muhammad and President Xi walking in Riyadh.
Brief Analysis
Assessing Xi Jinping’s Middle East Trip
His discussions on nuclear proliferation, energy markets, defense cooperation, and other issues offered numerous contrasts with President Biden’s summer meetings in Saudi Arabia—as well as some unexpected criticism of Iran.
Dec 22, 2022
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  • Grant Rumley
  • Carol Silber
  • Eric Feely
  • Sarah Cahn
  • Sude Akgundogdu
  • Lauren von Thaden
  • Faris Almaari
Private Sean Rooney, an Irish soldier killed while serving with UNIFIL in Lebanon - source: Government of the Republic of Ireland
Brief Analysis
Expect More Violence If Hezbollah Isn’t Held Accountable for Murdering an Irish Soldier
Whether the group is pulling the trigger itself or inciting others to do so, its brazen disregard for Lebanese civil authority, international law, and Israeli redlines has reached a new low.
Dec 20, 2022
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran's Nuclear Proliferation Strategy: U.S. Policy Options
Three experts discuss how Washington might feasibly attempt to steer Tehran away from actively pursuing nuclear weapons.
Dec 16, 2022
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Mahsa Rouhi
  • Suzanne Maloney
Karrada District Iraq
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Perpetrators of Stephen Troell’s Killing in Baghdad Remain Unknown
The circumstances surrounding Troell's death in November clearly indicate that the murder is tied to political infighting and the ongoing issue of armed militias in Iraq.
Dec 15, 2022
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  • Mohanad Faris
A Lebanese protester holds a sign denouncing Iranian influence
Articles & Testimony
Iran Occupies Lebanon via Proxy, But the Lebanese Still Have Agency
Although not much can be done about disarming Hezbollah at the moment, any serious Western policy will need to focus on sanctioning the group’s domestic political enablers while engaging and protecting its Shia opponents.
Dec 13, 2022
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Kurdish protesters killed by the Iranian regime
Video
Brief Analysis
Kurds Against the Iranian Regime: Internal and Regional Implications
Activists and experts discuss what Washington can do to curb Tehran’s violent campaigns against Kurdish populations at home and next door in Iraq.
Dec 13, 2022
◆
  • Abdullah Mohtadi
  • Shukriya Bradost
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Human Rights Sanctions on Iran Need More Coordination and Creativity
Several countries have rapidly imposed new sanctions in response to the regime’s repression of peaceful protests, but they should do more to harmonize and expand these actions.
Dec 9, 2022
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  • Henry Rome
Brief Analysis
Violence in Iran’s Uprising: What Happens If Either Side Escalates?
The regime still has additional means of making the crackdown even more lethal, and parts of the country are potentially primed to take up arms in response, with uncertain consequences on the ground.
Dec 8, 2022
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  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Patrick Clawson
Iran Drones
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Regional Impact of Iran’s Drones in Ukraine
Russia's use of Iranian drones in Ukraine foreshadows potentially dangerous developments for U.S. forces and their allies in the Middle East.
Dec 7, 2022
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  • Omar Alradad
Iran Soccer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran Team’s Ambivalent Approach to Protests During the World Cup
Iran's loss at the World Cup coincides with controversy and tensions both back home and around the globe.
Dec 2, 2022
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  • S. Houseini
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Focusing on “External Threats,” Not Protest Demands
In an attempt to rally Iranians around the flag, his latest speech fixated on “Western plots,” indicating that he has no imminent plans to make significant concessions to protesters.
Dec 2, 2022
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  • Omer Carmi
IRAM June 4, 2007
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah and Kaf Celebrate Attacks on Americans
The militia's media channel has been praising past Iranian-aided terrorist acts that killed and wounded U.S. military personnel in Iraq—and linking them to current activities.
Nov 30, 2022
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  • Michael Knights
  • Aya Yousuf
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Iranian Protests
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Tenacity of Young Iranians in the Protest Movement
Despite the regime's crackdown, Iranian protestors are showing unprecedented resilience and unity in their demands, making the international community's next steps even more crucial.
Nov 29, 2022
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  • Haleh Esfandiari
An Iranian soccer fan protests at a World Cup game in Qatar - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Team Melli vs. Team USA: Iran’s Game of Contradictions
The regime’s often-hypocritical handling of this year’s World Cup comes to a head with a matchup against the United States, and a political victory seems unattainable regardless of the results on the field.
Nov 29, 2022
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Eisenstadt monograph cover; U.S. "Plumbbob Hood" nuclear weapons test, 1957
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Iran's Nuclear Hedging Strategy:
Shaping the Islamic Republic's Proliferation Calculus
Tehran’s willingness to pause aspects of its nuclear program may offer opportunities to stoke regime concerns about the potential costs of moving forward.
Nov 29, 2022
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt

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Supported by the

Viterbi Program on Iran and U.S. Policy

Today, the Islamic Republic of Iran poses the most serious and urgent set of security challenges to the United States and its allies in the greater Middle East. Since the Khomeini revolution in 1979, Iran has sought to export its radical ideology through the use of terrorism, subversion, and support to ideological fellow-travelers throughout the Muslim world.

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is Morningstar senior fellow and director of research at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Mehdi Khalaji
Mehdi Khalaji
Mehdi Khalaji, a Qom-trained Shiite theologian, is the Libitzky Family Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Henry Rome
Henry Rome
Henry Rome is a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, specializing in Iran sanctions, economic, and nuclear issues.
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