Turkey-Greece standoff heats up

With Connor O’Brien, Jacqueline Feldscher and Lara Seligman

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Quick Fix

The U.S.-brokered agreement between Israel and UAE could offer new opportunities for security cooperation.

Military tensions heat up again between Turkey and NATO nations over Ankara’s “illegal” drilling actions in the eastern Mediterranean.

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says Russia was warned there “will be an enormous price to pay” if they pay Afghan militants to kill U.S. troops.

HAPPY FRIDAY AND WELCOME TO MORNING DEFENSE, where we got a reminder that the “clean sheet” approach the new Space Force is taking also means it can ball it up, toss it in the trash, and start again. Like this misfire from the nascent branch’s recruiting efforts. “How would you even begin to explain this Space Force tweet?” asked New York magazine. For the Space Force, Task and Purpose reports, “it was a clumsy attempt to talk about the future…’For Twitter, it was a field day. And not sure about you, but our kids know how to “shape the strategic environment” far better than we do. Tips: [email protected], and follow on Twitter @bryandbender, @morningdefense and @politicopro.

On the Hill

‘MILES APART’: White House officials and top Democratic lawmakers concede they’re nowhere close to a deal on a new round of coronavirus economic aid after six days without in-person meetings, leaving little hope economic relief will arrive this month, POLITICO’s Marianne LeVine and Sarah Ferris report.

Heading home: The Senate is now expected to recess until Labor Day, after technically remaining in session an extra week, though most senators went home last week. The House has already left for the rest of August and the first two weeks of September.

For Your Radar

BRAITHWAITE TO TESTIFY: Navy Secretary Kenneth Braithwaite will make his first public appearance on Capitol Hill next month before a Senate Armed Services’ Readiness Subcommittee.

Braithwaite, who’s kept a low profile since he was confirmed in May, is slated to testify on Sept. 23 on Navy and Marine Corps readiness alongside Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Michael Gilday and Marine Commandant Gen. David Berger.

State

‘WE WON’T TOLERATE THAT’: “Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has acknowledged that he and U.S. military leaders warned Russian officials against offering bounties to militants for killing American and coalition troops in Afghanistan, more than a month after President Donald Trump dismissed reports of the payments as a ‘hoax,’” our colleague Lara Seligman reports.

Pompeo said he told his Russian counterpart that if Moscow is offering money to kill Americans or other Westerners, “there will be an enormous price to pay,”according to a State Department transcript of a Wednesday interview with Radio Free Europe. “That’s what I shared with Foreign Minister [Sergey] Lavrov. I know our military has talked to their senior leaders as well. We won’t brook that; we won’t tolerate that.”

Pompeo’s comments mark the first time a senior member of the administration has publicly acknowledged discussing the bounties, first reported by The New York Times in June, with the Russian government. By contrast, Trump said in a recent interview with Axios that he never confronted Russian President Vladimir Putin about the matter.

The top U.S. general in the Middle Easttold reporters that he’s skeptical over the intelligence that bounties had been paid. “I found it very worrisome. I didn’t find that there was a causative link there,” Gen. Frank McKenzie, head of U.S. Central Command, said in early July.

White House

‘THE ICE HAS BEEN BROKEN’: “President Donald Trump on Thursday announced that Israel and the United Arab Emirates will normalize diplomatic relations, hailing the news as a major breakthrough that will ‘advance peace in the Middle East,’” POLITICO’s Max Cohen and Nahal Toosi report.

“By uniting two of America’s closest and most capable partners in the region, something which [was] said could not be done, this deal is a significant step towards building a more peaceful, secure, and prosperous Middle East,” Trump said in the Oval Office. “Now that the ice has been broken, I expect more Arab and Muslim countries will follow the United Arab Emirates’ lead.”

The announcement was also seen as a victory in easing tensions between Israel and the Palestinians. Israel also pledged to shelve for now plans to annex parts of the West Bank where it has constructed settlements.

The president’s allies hailed the breakthrough, which seeks to further isolate a common enemy in Iran. But Jonathan Schanzer, senior vice president for research at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, told Morning D the deal “is cementing what we already know about the way that the region is aligning.”

Sunni Arab states and Israel have grown increasingly aligned — at least unofficially — to check Iranian aggression across the region. And Israel and the UAE have held diplomatic visits in recent years and participated in joint military exercises.

“There is a lot already happening under the table,” Schanzer said. “The tracks have been laid for years on this. It was an open secret. Everyone knew Israel and the UAE had a relationship. The question now is how it manifests itself.”

Read more varied reaction to the deal, via Reuters.

Related: Israel successfully tests Arrow-2 missile interceptor, U.S. says, also via Reuters.

NATO

TURKEY’S ‘ILLEGAL ACTIONS’: Two leading Democrats in Congress on Thursday raised “grave concern regarding Turkey’s provocative actions in the Eastern Mediterranean” in sending naval vessels with a drilling ship to survey for oil inside Greece’s exclusive economic zone.

Sens. Bob Menendez of New Jersey, the top Democrat on the Foreign Relations Committee, and Chris Van Hollen of Maryland, a member of the Senate Appropriations’s State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs subcommittee, called on Pompeo to “immediately begin to work with the European Union on a coordinated response to Turkey’s increasing provocations and illegal actions.”

“The United States and the European Union should immediately develop a plan of comprehensive joint sanctions that would be imposed on key sectors of the Turkish economy if Turkey continues to pursue illegal actions in the Eastern Mediterranean and refuses to resolve these matters through an impartial international tribunal,” they wrote.

Pompeo is scheduled to meet today with Greek Foreign Minister Nikos Dendias in Vienna.

Ankara and Athens have a long history of military confrontations and the latest actions have set off alarm bells about a potential conflict. “It’s been awhile since NATO members Turkey and Greece have been at war, but don’t rule out at least a skirmish or two,” Simon Henderson of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, writes in The Hill.

Related: France sends navy to eastern Mediterranean amid Turkey-Greece standoff, via The Wall Street Journal.

2020 Watch

A COMMON FRAMEWORK FOR NORTH KOREA: Thirteen progressive and anti-war advocacy groups are urging the next administration to commit to greater diplomatic engagement with North Korea.

“The next administration — whether it is the second Trump administration or a new Biden administration — will have to pick up where this one leaves off, and will have an urgent responsibility to make progress with North Korea,” the groups wrote in a memo to the Trump and Biden campaigns.

They also proposed a series of principles to guide North Korea policy — including seeking shared goals rather than “all or nothing” disarmament for sanctions relief, pursuing a formal agreement to end the Korean War, opening liaison offices in Washington and Pyongyang, and continued repatriation of POW/MIA remains and reuniting divided North Korean families.

Industry Intel

‘WHAT WE NEED IS THE FEEDBACK’: Pentagon acquisition chief Ellen Lord said Thursday that smaller companies should be more vocal about whether accelerated progress payments are trickling down to them from prime contractors, our colleague Jacqueline Feldscher reports.

Critics have argued that the boost in progress payments during the coronavirus epidemic mostly benefit the biggest defense contractors. Lord said hearing directly from small businesses that they are receiving that money as intended will help the accelerated payment rate become permanent.

“What we need is the feedback from the smalls especially, as well as mid-tier companies, saying ‘This was flowed down to us. We received it, it made a difference,’” Lord said.

Related: Pentagon drafting new guidance for contractors affected by Covid-19, via National Defense.

Making Moves

Katie Peake, most recently a legislative correspondent for Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Ala), is now a policy analyst for defense lobbying shop J.A. Green & Co.

Speed Read

Federal appeals court: Male-only draft is constitutional: Military.com

New Pentagon tech chief to focus on improving project coordination: Defense News

India announces ban on 101 imported arms. Who benefits, who loses out? Defense News

U.N. Security Council begins vote on Iran arms embargo: Reuters

Video: Iranian forces briefly seize tanker in Persian Gulf: USNI News

U.S. seizes Iranian fuel cargoes for first time: The Wall Street Journal

ISIS accused of selling fake PPE to finance terrorism: CBS News

Pentagon to launch task force to investigate UFO sightings: CNN

Developing and securing the U.S. ‘third border’: Newsweek

Robert Gates on the ‘The Scowcroft Model’: Foreign Affairs