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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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Brief Analysis
Houthi Strikes on UAE Open Another Front in Yemen War
As Emirati-aligned forces gain ground on the battlefield in Yemen, the Houthis are trying to raise the costs of Abu Dhabi’s involvement.
Jan 18, 2022
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  • Elana DeLozier
A professional golfer at a tournament in the UAE - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Golf War on the Arabian Peninsula
The Emirates are the region’s leading destination for the sport, but Saudi Arabia is coming on strong as part of their broader economic competition.
Dec 26, 2021
◆
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
IRGC Conducts “Hybrid” Military Drills as Nuclear Talks Teeter
The timing of the exercise and the types of systems and tactics on display reveal much about Iran’s likely response to any uptick in foreign pressure.
Dec 22, 2021
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Israeli Prime Minister Bennett meets with the UAE's foreign minister in December 2021 - Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Bennett Visit Shows the UAE Balancing Between Israeli Ties and Regional De-escalation
The meeting confirmed how eager both countries are to keep their economic progress humming along, but such cooperation could become complicated if concerns about Iran’s nuclear program come to a head.
Dec 16, 2021
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Gulf Arab Summit Could Be Overshadowed by Israel-UAE Meeting
Normalization with Israel will be the elephant in the room at the Riyadh summit, though Iran diplomacy and persistent internal rifts bear close watching as well.
Dec 13, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Elana DeLozier
President Biden and Secretary of State Blinken host the Summit for Democracy. Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Summit for Democracy Skips the Arab World
To address the region’s democracy gap, Washington needs to develop consistent messaging on reform objectives and help its partners focus on achievable goals such as protecting free speech, dissidents, and civil society.
Dec 8, 2021
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  • Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Will an Apparent Saudi Concession on Oil Production Drop US Prices at the Pump?
It is unclear how long any price effects might last, and Riyadh may yet expect a diplomatic quid pro quo from Washington.
Dec 3, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
An Emirati family relaxes on the shore in Dubai
Articles & Testimony
The UAE’s Second Half-Century: Building Forward to What?
The country is well-positioned to further the progress it has made on multiple fronts, from balancing relations with competing regional and global powers, to diversifying its economy and addressing long-term environmental concerns.
Dec 2, 2021
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
US Leads a Global Release of Oil from Reserves, But Will It Outmaneuver OPEC+?
Besides reopening the debate about proper use of the strategic reserve, the decision is not guaranteed to sway Washington’s tussle with Moscow and Riyadh.
Nov 23, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
A solar panel in the West Bank
Brief Analysis
UAE to Fund Israel and Jordan’s Solar/Water Deal
The trilateral agreement will combine long-established peace partners with one of the Gulf parties to last year’s Abraham Accords, providing a model for broader normalization efforts.
Nov 18, 2021
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Simon Henderson
OPEC flag
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s Other Setback: OPEC+ Ignores His Plea for Help
The political costs of oil and gas pricing are increasing amid diplomatic snubs, LNG logistics, and the onset of winter weather.
Nov 8, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Top Agenda Items for the U.S.-Egypt Strategic Dialogue
In addition to continuing the discussion of withheld U.S. funding, Secretary Blinken’s team should focus on steering Cairo toward productive steps in Ethiopia, Sudan, Libya, Lebanon, and Syria.
Nov 5, 2021
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Biden Needs a Plan B for Yemen If Houthis Win
Ending the war under the current circumstances will generate new problems unless further steps are taken to interdict weapons smuggling and bolster security in Saudi Arabia and the Red Sea.
Nov 4, 2021
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince’s “Net Zero by 2060” Goal Comes with Intriguing Contradictions
His presence at a major climate event will be awash in speculation regarding Canadian hit squads, British charities, and uncertain relations with the Biden administration.
Oct 25, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
China and Mideast Leverage: Hiding in Plain Sight
Washington still has good cards to play in terms of Iran’s destabilizing activities, the U.S. security umbrella over Gulf energy supplies, and Arab public opinion toward China and America.
Oct 22, 2021
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia: What Has Changed, What Hasn’t
An expert discusses persistent questions about Saudi policy two decades since the September 11 attacks, explaining why some of them are still so difficult to answer definitively.
Oct 13, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Newcastle United fans celebrate the Saudi purchase of their team
Brief Analysis
Saudi Soccer Investment Augurs a Different Gulf Rivalry
Riyadh’s purchase of a struggling English club could shift some of the region’s core tensions and maneuvering to a different field of play.
Oct 8, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
High Prices, Winter Shortages Delay Arrival of Post-Fossil Fuel World
The long timeframes and commercial calculations involved in such a transition have left Washington and other capitals more reliant on OPEC+ decisionmaking than they would like.
Oct 6, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
U.S., Israeli, Bahraini, and Qatari flags on a mural celebrating the Abraham Accords
Articles & Testimony
Think Regionally: A US Role for Deepening the Abraham Accords
Washington should look to economic forums in other regions as a model for establishing regular cooperation between Arab and Israeli officials, business leaders, academics, and civil society groups.
Oct 3, 2021
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  • David Makovsky
  • Josh Kram
Brief Analysis
Qatar’s Council Election Has Gulf-Wide Implications
The long-delayed poll will be watched carefully by the country’s neighbors, though the sundry restrictions on voters and council members may limit its near-term policy impact.
Sep 30, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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