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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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In-Depth Reports
Qatar Without Tamim Sudden Succession Essay Series
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Qatar's break with Saudi Arabia and its Gulf neighbors remains unresolved, and rumors circulate of bids to replace Tamim bin Khalifa al-Thani, Qatar’s forty-year-old emir, with one of his historically marginalized rivals.
Jun 15, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Middle East Mega-Trends, COVID-19, and Beyond: Views from France
A French diplomat and a leading scholar of Islam explore the region’s crises and their effects on Western policy, assessing what has changed since the Arab Spring.
Jun 12, 2020
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  • Gilles Kepel
  • Charles Thépaut
Articles & Testimony
You May Pay More at the Pump, as OPEC+ Cuts Oil Production
The cartel’s latest bid to increase profits will likely be counterbalanced by depressed summer demand and increased output by other producers.
Jun 8, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Khashoggi’s Family Forgives His Killers, But Will the World Forget the Saudi Scandal?
Whether continued campaigns to hold Riyadh accountable for the crime succeed or not, the crown prince’s economic ‘Vision’ is increasingly likely to slip by another decade or more.
May 23, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Rethinking U.S. Policy Toward the Fractured GCC
Genuinely resolving the various entrenched disputes between GCC states is unlikely, so Washington should focus instead on managing relations with them bilaterally while still maximizing regional security.
May 12, 2020
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  • Nabeel Nowairah
Articles & Testimony
Has Trump Finally Lost Patience with the Saudis?
Whatever combination of factors spurred the latest withdrawal of U.S. military equipment from the kingdom, the administration is tempting fate given Iran’s ongoing challenges and shifting tactics in the Gulf.
May 8, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
What Turned the Battle for Tripoli?
A boost in Turkish drones and air defense systems enabled forces in Tripoli to establish local air superiority and ease pressure on the capital, leaving each side’s foreign patrons with tough choices about whether to escalate further or take steps to halt the fighting.
May 6, 2020
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  • Ben Fishman
  • Conor Hiney
Video
Brief Analysis
Arab Health Officials Discuss Fighting COVID-19
Three senior officials from Iraq, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia share a behind-the-scenes look at each country’s efforts to contain the pandemic.
Apr 30, 2020
◆
  • Jaafar Allawi
  • Saad Jaber
  • Abdullah Algwizani
Brief Analysis
Saudi Leverage Not Enough to Achieve Peace in Yemen
Riyadh’s negotiation efforts in Yemen’s north and south have faltered, raising questions about its ability to single-handedly shepherd the country toward peace.
Apr 29, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince’s Vision Marred by Oil Price—and a Death
The combo of local opposition to a high-tech urbanization project and oil market volatility has cast a shadow over Riyadh’s long-term economic plans.
Apr 29, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Covid-19 and Middle East Proxy Wars: The Storm Before the Calm?
Although the pandemic’s full regional consequences remain murky, some early trends are becoming clear, from caution among certain proxy patrons, to escalation among others, and a looming financial crunch for all.
Apr 29, 2020
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Iran Gets Aggressive in the Northern Gulf Following U.S. Military Exercises
Recent joint drills by the U.S. Navy, Army, and Air Force have essentially challenged Tehran to a game of contested deterrence, spurring its forces to respond with swarm maneuvers and a vessel seizure.
Apr 21, 2020
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Will Crashing Oil Prices Put American Energy in Its Coffin?
The prospect of a full shale collapse has spurred politicians and oil companies to raise furious questions about the future of U.S. economic and military cooperation with Saudi Arabia.
Apr 21, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
‘Legitimacy’ Protecting Yemen’s President Complicates Process of Replacing Him
Finding an acceptable process to install a new transitional leader is hard; finding a person with the requisite legitimacy to play that role may be harder still.
Apr 15, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Will the OPEC Agreement Work and, If So, How Long Will It Last?
The market appears to doubt that the deal will suffice, and royal family dynamics could push the oil crisis into further rounds.
Apr 13, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Coronavirus Pandemic Could Be the Key to Peace in Yemen
After years of failed attempts at talks and ceasefires, COVID-19 may be enough to push the Saudis, Houthis, and Yemeni government to the negotiating table.
Apr 9, 2020
◆
  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Houthis Release Their Wish List for Ending the Yemen War
Reflecting just how emboldened the Houthis have become, their latest ceasefire document advocates maximalist positions on core issues while demanding that other actors foot the bill for reconstruction, reparations, economic recovery, and virus containment.
Apr 9, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Trump Considers a Cameo Role in Saudi-Russia Oil Price Drama
The president’s latest statements on OPEC and the possibility of U.S. tariffs are ambiguous, but they suggest his growing exasperation with Moscow and Riyadh.
Apr 6, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Saudi-Russia Oil Fight Is the Last Thing the Economy Needs in a Pandemic
Both governments have gone “crazy” in the fast-moving price war, but the White House is apparently divided on who to blame and how much to get involved.
Apr 1, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Love Thy Neighbor: Saudi Arabia Needs Regional Help to End the War
After five years of fighting in Yemen, Riyadh has been left to deal with the conflict largely on its own, but the Gulf states will need to band together again if they hope to facilitate another transition of the sort seen in 2011.
Mar 31, 2020
◆
  • Elana DeLozier

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