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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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Enough Theory, European Strategic Autonomy Needs Practice in the Middle East

Libya, Iraq, and the Strait of Hormuz provide three test cases where greater assertiveness and transatlantic cooperation could go hand in hand, but only if European countries receive genuine U.S. support to step up their operational efforts and diplomatic engagement.

Charles Thépaut
Pierre Morcos

Articles & Testimony

The End of the Gulf Crisis Is Big News—But Middle East Sands Always Shift

The rift’s closure, while quite welcome, won’t produce instant Gulf unity or make the Iran nuclear issue any easier to solve.

Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Jordan Must Be Included in Future Israeli-Arab Normalization Deals

One of the most reliable strategic allies in the region has been taken for granted, so the Biden administration will need to steer more diplomatic attention and economic support Amman’s way.

Ben Fishman

Iranian rockets and flag

A Missile Defense “Manhattan Project” in the Middle East

One of the fruits of Arab-Israeli normalization should be more robust U.S.-led missile defense collaboration between states that face the greatest threat from Iran.

Michael Knights

Submarine Movements on Iran’s Doorstep: Military and Legal Implications

Unusual deployments by the U.S. and Israeli navies may be intended to deter Iranian attacks in the Gulf, but both moves are ripe for misinterpretation in Tehran.

Farzin Nadimi

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Sentencing of Women’s Activist Sets Up Riyadh for a Clash with Biden

The topic of human rights has become a red line for Saudi leaders, who seem to perceive it as a purely domestic matter on which they will not countenance any foreign pressure.

Simon Henderson

A government solcier in Yemen

Articles & Testimony

Yemen Policy From the Inside Out

The conflict continues because none of the local parties is strong enough to win, weak enough to lose, or incentivized toward peace, but the Biden administration can do something about the latter problem.

Elana DeLozier

Articles & Testimony

To Secure an Iran Nuclear Deal, Include the Mideast’s Powers

For two decades and running, diplomatic efforts have noticeably omitted the regional states most directly in the line of Tehran’s fire, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.

Jay Solomon

Al-Qaeda’s External Operations One Year After the Pensacola Attack

Drone campaigns have greatly culled the group’s leadership, but leaders are replaceable, and the guided-attack model seen in Pensacola could be a significant force multiplier for any locally rooted affiliates who seek to strike abroad in the coming years.

Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin

Articles & Testimony

Is OPEC Finally Beginning to Unravel?

Drastically lowered revenues, changing energy markets, political squabbling, and a new U.S. administration may eventually break the cartel’s cyclical status quo.

Simon Henderson

Washington Pushes to End the Qatar Rift

Successful diplomacy could enhance Arab normalization with Israel and boost U.S. efforts to counter Iran, but it is unclear if Riyadh wants to bargain now or wait for Joe Biden.

Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Forecasting U.S.-UAE Relations Under the New Biden Administration

From addressing Iranian threats to mending rifts with Qatar and Turkey, the sound bilateral partnership on regional issues will likely thrive in the Biden era, albeit with some marginal adjustments by both governments.

David Pollock

Houthi Terrorism Designation More Likely to Deliver Famine and Entanglement Than Leverage

To stave off a potential humanitarian disaster in Yemen, keep communication lines open, and avoid getting drawn into the war, the Trump administration should not designate the Houthis.

Elana DeLozier

Articles & Testimony

Saudi-Israeli Diplomacy Progresses Amid Looming Middle East Challenges

The reported meeting between the crown prince and Netanyahu will likely shift normalization into the fast lane, but much can happen to slow, stop, or even reverse it.

Simon Henderson

Saudi Arabia Faces Summit Scrutiny

The virtual G20 meeting in Riyadh will be watched closely for insights on the kingdom’s royal politics at home and its standing abroad.

Simon Henderson

The wounded Greek person was an officer, and he was seriously injured

كان ذلك احتفال بذكرى الحرب العالمية الأولى

سايمون هندرسون

America Votes, the Middle East Reacts: Views on U.S. Elections from Across the Region

Experts from the Gulf, Egypt, Turkey, and Israel respond to the initial voting results and discuss factors that may help or hinder the next administration.

Abdulrahman al-Rashed
Mohamed Anwar E. al-Sadat
Asli Aydintasbas
David Horovitz

How Does Indonesia View the Prospect of Normalization with Israel?

Jakarta’s domestic politics make normalization unlikely despite years of positive signals, but the United States should nevertheless urge it to consider incremental, mutually beneficial steps toward rapprochement with Jerusalem.

Michael Singh
Ehud Yaari

Articles & Testimony

Bandar Speaks Out: The Changing Landscape in the Mideast

Palestinian leaders previously never had to acknowledge their mistakes or account for missed opportunities, preventing them from learning critical lessons and adjusting their behavior.

Dennis Ross

Tehran Eyes Lifting of Arms Embargo

The regime senses a major win in the forthcoming move, perceiving an isolated and weakened United States and opportunities for escalation on many fronts.

Farzin Nadimi

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