Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia in July 2022

The ‘Spin’ Doesn’t Tell the Full Story of Biden’s Middle East Trip

If there is good news on oil, it isn’t because of Riyadh’s ambiguous remarks about increasing the kingdom’s production capacity.

Jul 18, 2022

◆

Simon Henderson

Israeli and UAE flags flying together in Abu Dhabi - source: Reuters

Fikra Forum

Arab Public Opinion on Arab-Israeli Normalization and Abraham Accords

A recent poll indicates that though more Gulfis now disapprove of the Abraham Accords, undertones of warming sentiments towards allowing contacts with Israelis are also present.

Jul 15, 2022

◆

Dylan Kassin
David Pollock

Brief Analysis

Biden Sees Oil as Key to His Visit, but Does Riyadh Agree?

The administration has signaled its intentions for the trip well in advance, but the realities of Saudi oil capacity and global energy forecasts should temper any U.S. expectations of a quick fix.

Jul 14, 2022

◆

Simon Henderson

Vice President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia

Video

Brief Analysis

Biden in the Middle East: Opportunities and Challenges

A panel of veteran diplomats and scholars from the Gulf, Israel, and Washington discuss the trip’s goals and risks, as well as the president’s chances for success.

Jul 14, 2022

◆

Tamar Hermann
Dennis Ross
Ebtesam al-Ketbi
Robert Satloff

President Joe Biden meets Palestinian Authority President Abbas in July 2022

Articles & Testimony

From Arabs and Israelis, Biden Hears Very Different “New” Middle Easts

The Gulf capitals and Jerusalem may not agree entirely on what “regional security cooperation” means or what an anti-Iran alliance should look like, but opportunities for other types of cooperation abound.

Jul 13, 2022

◆

David Makovsky

Brief Analysis

Prospects for an Iranian “July Surprise” During Biden’s Gulf Trip

Tehran may see the president’s attendance at the GCC+3 summit as a tempting opportunity to scuttle a U.S.-Gulf reset, perhaps by using a cyber or military provocation to humiliate the hosts and demonstrate America’s inability to protect them.

Jul 11, 2022

◆

Michael Eisenstadt

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salmon durnig a meeting with Russian President Vladimor Putin in Rihady - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

A Picture Could Paint a Thousand Words When Biden Meets MbS

Although political constraints in Washington, Jerusalem, and Riyadh could make substantive progress hard to come by, a few good photo ops may be all that's needed to deem the visit a success.

Jul 8, 2022

◆

Simon Henderson

Satellite map of wider Rea Sea with country names

Brief Analysis

Getting to an Israeli-Saudi Deal on Tiran and Sanafir

Efforts to reach an agreement during President Biden’s visit are laudable, but the administration must take care to ensure that any deal with Riyadh preserves the crucial regional security arrangements enshrined in the Egypt-Israel peace treaty.

Jul 7, 2022

◆

David Schenker

Articles & Testimony

One Small Handshake for the United States, One Giant Leap for U.S.-Saudi Relations

President Biden has a powerful moral imperative for ending his feud with the crown prince: to ensure that the kingdom’s gradual pivot away from extremism doesn’t falter.

Jun 29, 2022

◆

Robert Satloff

Articles & Testimony

Can Biden Convince Saudis to See the Western Position on Russia?

Improving U.S. relations with Riyadh is the only way to shift the Saudi stance toward Russia—failing that, Biden’s trip is unlikely to yield a strategic success.

Jun 28, 2022

◆

Anna Borshchevskaya

Articles & Testimony

The Facts on What’s Behind Our Energy Crunch and High Gas Prices

An expert untangles the many factors driving energy costs amid complications such as the Ukraine crisis, U.S.-Saudi diplomacy, and the green debate.

Jun 24, 2022

◆

Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Engaging the Saudis Does Not Require Biden to Forgo Our Concern for Human Rights

The president will still be able to set boundaries with Riyadh—while also addressing other major issues such as national security, rampant energy costs, and normalization with Israel.

Jun 22, 2022

◆

Dennis Ross

Ships of the US Navy's Fifth Fleet on exercise in the Persian Gulf

Articles & Testimony

Fixing Washington’s Gulf Rift

From Abu Dhabi and Riyadh’s perspective, there is no substitute for an American partner with the will to militarily deter or answer Iran’s regional aggression.

Jun 21, 2022

◆

David Schenker

Articles & Testimony

The Abraham Accords and the Changing Shape of the Middle East

A veteran U.S. diplomat reflects on the decades of direct engagement that paved the way to the accords, which have since opened a new avenue for curbing Iran and reanimating Israeli-Palestinian progress.

Jun 21, 2022

◆

Dennis Ross

President Joe Biden speaks on the phone in the Oval Office of the White House

Articles & Testimony

A Month Out, the Spin Begins on Expectations of Biden’s Saudi Arabia Trip

Despite the recent emphasis on Washington’s “oil vs. human rights” dilemma, the visit’s greatest impact may wind up falling in the Arab-Israel arena.

Jun 15, 2022

◆

Simon Henderson

High Oil Prices, Middle East Politics Cast Shadow Over Summer’s Start

The Biden administration is seeking to break a stalemate with MbS in Riyadh, but moves by Russia and Iran will also affect the trajectory of energy markets.

May 31, 2022

◆

Simon Henderson

Somali president Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in 2022 - source: Reuters

Brief Analysis

Return of Old Leader Presents New Opportunities in Somalia

The Biden administration should be encouraged by the incoming president’s ties to the UAE and apparent openness to bolstering the counterterrorism fight and normalizing with Israel.

May 26, 2022

◆

Ido Levy

UAE President Muhammad bin Zayed - source: Reuters

Brief Analysis

De Facto Becomes De Jure as MbZ Is Named UAE President

The succession of one of the most energetic emerging Arab leaders suggests an even more active regional role.

May 16, 2022

◆

Simon Henderson

Israeli Prime Minister Bennett meets with the UAE's foreign minister in December 2021 - Source: Reuters

Video

Brief Analysis

Building an Arab-Israel Bloc: Can It Compensate for a Reluctant Washington?

Arab, European, and Israeli experts assess the possibilities and limits of normalization, discussing concerns about Iran’s nuclear program, U.S. retrenchment, and the Palestinian issue.

May 12, 2022

◆

Nickolay Mladenov
Zohar Palti
Ebtesam al-Ketbi
Karim Haggag

Qatari leader Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani - source: Reuters

Brief Analysis

Qatari Visit to Iran Suggests Possible Policy Breakthroughs

The emir will likely seek a role in reviving the nuclear agreement, as well as Iranian help with accommodating World Cup fans later this year.

May 11, 2022

◆

Simon Henderson

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

Never miss a breaking event on U.S. policy interests in the Middle East. Customize your subscription to our expert analysis, op-eds, live events, and special reports.

Regions & Countries

Issues

Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

Regions & Countries

Issues

Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

Sign Up for Email Updates from The Washington Institute