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Gulf & Energy Policy

Policy Analysis on Gulf & Energy Policy

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Articles & Testimony
Achieving Sustainable Peace in Yemen
A political settlement with the Houthis is important, but no agreement can last without local buy-in and concerted efforts to rebuild Yemen’s infrastructure, institutions, and governance practices.
May 19, 2021
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  • Elana DeLozier
  • Adam Baron
Brief Analysis
Bahrain’s Interlocking Regional and Domestic Tensions
Manama is still grappling with the complex challenge of developing ties with Israel while coping with homegrown Shia militancy.
May 10, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
UAE Wealth Fund to Buy Share of Israeli Gas Field
If the $1.1 billion deal goes ahead, it will strengthen Abu Dhabi’s claim to be a player in the East Mediterranean.
Apr 27, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Want to Sell F-35s to the UAE? Time to Address the China Factor
To safeguard U.S. national security, the Biden administration needs to hold the UAE to the same standards it demands of other partners in the Joint Strike Fighter program.
Apr 26, 2021
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  • David Schenker
U.S. and Iranian flags
Articles & Testimony
Iran Moves Closer to a Diplomatic Breakthrough That May Upset Israel
A bevy of Israeli security officials will soon visit Washington against a backdrop of Vienna talks, Saudi engagement with Tehran, and continued nuclear moves.
Apr 22, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Satellite image of the Red Sea region and the Arabian Peninsula
Video
Brief Analysis
Don't Part the Red Sea: Formulating Holistic Policy Toward a Key Region
A former NAVCENT commander joins a panel of distinguished diplomats and experts to discuss why Washington should approach the region’s disparate economic, political, and security issues in a more integrated fashion.
Apr 19, 2021
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  • John Miller
  • Susan L. Ziadeh
  • Tibor Nagy
  • Elana DeLozier
Iranian sailors on board a naval vessel in the Strait of Hormuz
Brief Analysis
Iran and Israel’s Undeclared War at Sea (Part 2): The Potential for Military Escalation
Although both sides have sought to keep their tit-for-tat maritime attacks under control, they pose a substantial risk of miscalculation and escalation that could jeopardize international shipping.
Apr 13, 2021
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi meets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman in Riyadh
Brief Analysis
China’s Foreign Minister Tours the Middle East: Outcomes and Implications
The trip echoed Beijing’s strategy of stringing together initiatives that seem insubstantial on their own but cumulatively threaten to undermine U.S. and regional interests.
Apr 9, 2021
◆
  • Ilari Papa
Hamzah Bin Hussein
Brief Analysis
The Hamzah Affair: Context and Implications of Jordan’s Royal Crisis
The immediate crisis seems to have ended for now, but the stunningly public Hashemite feud is a reminder that Jordan’s stability needs tending and is not something to be taken for granted by Washington or Amman’s regional friends.
Apr 5, 2021
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Robert Satloff
Kataib Hezbollah logo
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Alwiyat al-Waad al-Haq
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
A facade group with unique ties to Kataib Hezbollah, Alwiyat al-Waad al-Haq has been used exclusively to claim or threaten attacks against Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.
Apr 1, 2021
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  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Yemen’s “Southern Hezbollah”: Implications of Houthi Missile and Drone Improvements
As the Iran-backed rebels make further range leaps that bring them closer to reaching Israel and other countries, the United States needs to start viewing them as a proliferation challenge beyond Yemen’s civil war.
Apr 1, 2021
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  • Michael Knights
Satellite map of wider Rea Sea with country names
In-Depth Reports
The Case for a Holistic U.S. Policy Toward the Emerging Red Sea Region
Transition 2021
To promote stability and other U.S. interests, Washington must reshape its approach to this increasingly complex staging ground for global competition.
Apr 1, 2021
◆
  • Elana DeLozier
A man walks in a graveyard in Marib, Yemen
Brief Analysis
Saving the Yemen Peace Process by Blunting the Houthi Push for Marib
Losing Marib would discredit and debilitate the multilateral peace effort, so the United States should facilitate more energetic Saudi and Emirati support to the city’s defense.
Mar 17, 2021
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  • Michael Knights
  • Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
The Saudi Air Defense Problem Is a U.S. Opportunity
Washington can do much to help the kingdom close its serious air defense gaps, whereas acquiring Russian S-400s would be militarily insufficient and strategically disastrous.
Mar 17, 2021
◆
  • Patrick Schmidt
Brief Analysis
Continued Houthi Strikes Threaten Saudi Oil and the Global Economic Recovery
Saudi Arabia used what Congress might consider “offensive weapons” to successfully defend major oil terminals, but a much more devastating attack is inevitable if Houthi missile and drone attacks persist.
Mar 12, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Reshaping U.S. Force Posture in the Middle East
By adjusting carrier rotations, ISR capabilities, headquarters locations, and other key aspects of its posture, the Biden administration can contribute to regional security and self-sufficiency while still shifting toward great-power competition.
Mar 10, 2021
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  • Christine McVann
Saudi ARAMCO oil storage facility
Articles & Testimony
Attack on Saudi Oil Facility Means New Headache for Biden
One obvious remedy involves asking Riyadh to end its production cutback, but any such request could be complicated by the administration’s recent friction with the crown prince.
Mar 8, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Assistant secretary of state David Schenker speaks at the Department of State in Washington, DC, alongside secretary of state Mike Pompeo
Video
Brief Analysis
Middle East Policy from Trump to Biden: Views from Inside the State Department’s Near East Bureau
The former assistant secretary of state in charge of the Middle East portfolio from 2019-2021 discusses his time in office and how the region’s challenges and opportunities are evolving at the start of the Biden administration.
March 10, 2021
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  • David Schenker
  • Robert Satloff
Vice President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia
Articles & Testimony
For Better or Worse: Which Way Will US-Saudi Relations Go Under Biden?
The new administration seems to regard Khashoggi’s death as merely the best known of the crown prince’s sins, but it is hard to see an alternative successor in the House of Saud.
Feb 26, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Vice President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia
Articles & Testimony
Balancing Act: Biden Must Redefine the US-Saudi Relationship
The administration’s instinct to cancel Riyadh’s blank check is right, but engaging a flawed partner is not the same as confronting a determined adversary.
Feb 25, 2021
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Robert Satloff

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