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Gulf and Energy Policy

Policy Analysis on Gulf and Energy Policy

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In-Depth Reports
The Economic Consequences of Peace for Israel, Jordan, and the Palestinians
While economic issues have not been a driving force in the Arab-Israeli peace process in the past, they are sure to play a critically important role in the historic negotiations looming ahead. Across the wide Sinai expanse, Egypt and Israel have little to show in the way of economic ties
Aug 31, 1991
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Howard Rosen
Brief Analysis
Iran and the Gulf: Can Saddam Drag It In?
The arrival of large numbers of Iraqi planes in Iran is almost certainly another effort by Saddam Hussein to reduce Iraq's isolation and widen the war. As he explained to CNN on January 28, he views Iran as a "fellow Muslim nation" which shares his view of the confrontation as
Jan 29, 1991
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Scaring Saddam: The Message Must Be Consistent
President Bush's decision to double U.S. force deployments in the Persian Gulf was designed to scare Saddam Hussein. Instead, it has frightened the American people and threatened his coercive diplomacy strategy. The President faces a difficult dilemma. He cannot persuade Saddam Hussein of American resolve without a credible threat of
Nov 16, 1990
In-Depth Reports
Iraq's Economic and Military Vulnerabilities
"Will sanctions against Iraq work?" is a question too ambiguous to be useful. It leaves unspecified such key issues as what we want sanctions to accomplish and how Iraq would react if sanctions started to pinch. And, then, how much does Saddam Hussein care about what happens to Iraq's economy
Oct 1, 1990
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  • Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
The Gulf Crisis: War of Peace in the Middle East?
Keynote addresses by Moshe Arens, Richard Haass, Saud Nasir Al-Sabah, and Paul Wolfowitz.
Sep 14, 1990
In-Depth Reports
Kuwait's Approach to the Gulf Crisis
On September 14-16, 1990, The Washington Institute held its fifth annual Policy Conference at the Wye Plantation. The following is an edited transcript of one speaker's remarks. Read a summary of the full conference. The situation inside Kuwait is indescribable. Iraq has isolated Kuwait from the civilized world; the 1.5
Sep 14, 1990
Brief Analysis
Meeting in Amman: The Perils of Negotiation
As UN Secretary-General Perez de Cuellar begins diplomatic contacts in Amman with Iraqi Foreign Minister Tariq Aziz, the Gulf crisis moves, at least temporarily, into a phase of negotiations. But negotiations can be as dangerous as battle -- leading to escalation, defeat, or even disaster. U.S. policy must be flexible
Aug 30, 1990
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  • Barry Rubin
In-Depth Reports
OPEC Ascendant? Another Case of Crying Wolf
A moderate run-up in oil prices in 1989 has led many oil forecasters to project large price hikes through the 1990s and a far more powerful OPEC cartel; in short another oil shock in the mid-1990s. Recent warnings from forecasters are reminiscent of the alarmist—and mistaken—predictions that followed the oil
Jun 1, 1990
In-Depth Reports
Unaffordable Ambitions: Syria's Military Build-Up and Economic Crisis
In the last decade, Syria has forcefully opposed U.S.-supported peace initiatives for Lebanon and the Arab-Israeli conflict. Syria’s inflexibility has persuaded many observers that little can be done to influence its president, Hafez al-Assad. In fact, much can be done once his vulnerabilities are understood. In this Policy Paper, Patrick
Oct 1, 1989
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  • Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Development Diplomacy: U.S. Economic Assistance to the West Bank and Gaza
For more than a decade, U.S. policymakers have sought, at least indirectly, to supplement their efforts to promote political reconciliation between Israel and the Palestinians with economic support to improve the socio-economic conditions in the West Bank and Gaza. U.S. efforts have been premised on the assumption that economic progress
Jan 1, 1989
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  • Joyce Starr
In-Depth Reports
Behind the Riot in Mecca
The recent rioting and deaths in Mecca have shocked Muslims and confused the world. The hostility which led to bloodshed in the sacred city was prompted in part by the political tensions in the Gulf. But the tragedy is primarily one episode in a lengthy history of pilgrimage conflict between
Aug 1, 1987
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  • Martin Kramer
In-Depth Reports
Another Oil Shock in the 1990s? A Dissenting View
Executive Summary Contrary to the forecasts of many oil industry analysts, the current state of relatively low oil prices is likely to continue throughout the nest decade. As a result, there is little reason to fear the economic power of a resurgent oil cartel. The strongest force depressing oil prices
Jan 1, 1987

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