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Gulf and Energy Policy

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Articles & Testimony

The F-35 Triangle: America, Israel, the United Arab Emirates

Selling the advanced U.S. jet to a foreign government ought to signal the highest confidence in that country’s warfighting capabilities, decisionmaking on the use of force, and commitment to protecting sensitive technology, but the UAE’s record on each of these issues is mixed.

Barbara A. Leaf
Dana Stroul

Mahmoud Abbas Checking His Watch

Articles & Testimony

The Middle East Is Changing. Will Palestinians Be Left Behind?

The Palestinian issue has become far less of a priority for most Arab states, who now tend to see Israel as a bulwark against regional threats and a partner on urgent health, water, and food-security needs.

Dennis Ross

Qatar Strategic Dialogue Offers Opening to End Gulf Rift

The Washington meeting between the United States and Qatar, overlapping with the Israel-UAE signing ceremony on normalization, creates a unique opportunity to resolve the dispute between U.S. allies.

Simon Henderson

The Road Beyond UAE-Israel Normalization

Netanyahu’s strategy of bypassing the intractable Palestinian issue has paid substantial dividends worldwide, but a peace treaty ‘domino effect’ is unlikely in the near term given various calculations in Riyadh and other Arab capitals.

Ehud Yaari

Articles & Testimony

Here’s How Palestinians Could Benefit from the Diplomatic Deal Between Israel and the United Arab Emirates

Skillful U.S. and Arab diplomacy could use normalization and the accompanying annexation freeze as a base for renewed momentum toward an eventual two-state solution.

David Makovsky
Daniel Shapiro

Saudi Military Chief Accused of Corruption

The general’s firing will prompt speculation about changes in Yemen policy and royal family opposition to the crown prince.

Simon Henderson

Normalization Can Inject New Life into the Arab Peace Initiative

With careful diplomacy, blunt discussion of national interests, and reciprocal steps on the ground, a group of like-minded Arab states could advance Palestinian-Israeli peacemaking while still preserving the API’s core.

Ghaith al-Omari

Articles & Testimony

Peace for Warplanes?

How domestic and foreign disputes over the potential sale of F-35 jets to the UAE could complicate the country's normalization deal with Israel.

Neri Zilber

Saudi-Pakistan Rift Develops Over India

Growing tensions between the two allies have both Islamic and nuclear angles.

Simon Henderson

Oman’s Sultan Devolves Some of His Powers to New Cabinet

In a series of royal decrees that imply a sharp focus on the economy, Sultan Haitham delegated key powers to various ministries for the first time while trimming and professionalizing the government.

Elana DeLozier

Articles & Testimony

Why the Israel-UAE Agreement Is Actually a Very Big Deal

It shows the Palestinians that their longstanding paradigm for isolating Israel has failed, partly due to converging regional interests, and partly because it was based on incorrect assumptions.

David Makovsky

The Normalization Deal Splits the Gulf States—for Now

Some Gulf governments have welcomed the paradigm-changing Israel-UAE agreement while others have not, and those who follow Abu Dhabi’s path will do so based on their own interests and timetables.

Elana DeLozier

Articles & Testimony

Putting the UAE-Israel Agreement in Its Proper Perspective

Like all good policy decisions, the deal emerged from the enlightened self-interest of the key parties, but the stakes are not as high as with Israel’s previous two Arab peace treaties.

Robert Satloff

Lessons of the UAE Breakthrough: How We Got Here, and Why the U.S. Role Remains Central

Statements and actions by Israel and the UAE show how much regional decisionmaking is still shaped by U.S. assurances that enable parties to calibrate their cost-benefit analyses—an approach that could serve as a template for potential future Israel-Gulf ties.

David Makovsky

Articles & Testimony

The Slow but Steady Progress to Israel’s Peace with the UAE

Years of burgeoning trade and quiet U.S. diplomacy helped lay the groundwork for a move that is only partly focused on improving the bilateral relationship.

Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

The Israel-UAE Agreement Is a Key Step for Peace and Sends a Crucial Message to Palestinians

Emirati leaders apparently understood that this move would preserve the two-state option and preempt Iran from exploiting the annexation issue—while also opening access to previously off-limits U.S. weaponry.

Dennis Ross

Articles & Testimony

Israel-UAE Deal Achieves a Middle East Rarity: It’s Win-Win-Win, Palestinians Included

Arab countries that have official relations with Israel are more effective at advancing Palestinian interests, and now Abu Dhabi has joined their ranks.

Ghaith al-Omari

Articles & Testimony

Turkey’s Search for Oil May Spill Over into Conflict with Greece

The current flare-up centers on differing interpretations of international law—a situation that should be employing lawyers but is instead deploying navies.

Simon Henderson

Iran Applies Maximum Power to Annual IRGC Naval Exercise

Coming soon after Western naval redeployments in the Gulf and explosions at sensitive Iranian sites, the recent drills illustrate the regime’s eagerness to reassert its deterrence by showing off new weapons and capabilities.

Farzin Nadimi

Articles & Testimony

Is China Helping Saudi Arabia to Build a Nuclear Bomb?

Riyadh has now ticked the first two boxes on the enrichment checklist and might already be working on the others.

Simon Henderson

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