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All Policy Analysis by Farzin Nadimi
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Brief Analysis
Iran's Support to Houthi Air Defenses in Yemen
In addition to preventing the entry of smuggled Iranian air-defense systems, Washington should work with the Saudi-led coalition to blunt the impact of evolving Houthi SAM tactics.
Apr 4, 2018
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Farzin Nadimi
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
A China-Pakistan Base Deal Could Put Iran on the Back Foot
Beijing's economic project in Gwadar Port and planned military presence in the Jiwani peninsula may wind up redrawing the region's geopolitical map.
Mar 27, 2018
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran's Reduced Naval Harassment in the Gulf Is Temporary and Tactical
The U.S. military should view the recent quiet as a short-term interlude in Tehran's longstanding doctrine of aggressive naval behavior.
Mar 7, 2018
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran May Double Down on Foreign Militias After Its 'Victory' Against the Islamic State
The Islamic Republic's self-declared triumphs in Syria and Iraq could embolden it to expand the role of its "International Basij" and build more-formidable proxies in Afghanistan, Yemen, and other locales.
Dec 6, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Possible Iranian Links to the Claimed Houthi Missile Launch Against the UAE
Early signs indicate that the rebels may have attempted to strike an Emirati nuclear site with an Iranian cruise missile -- a claim that could heighten international pressure on Tehran and raise the stakes of the regional conflict if confirmed.
Dec 4, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran's Potential Military Reactions to New U.S. Sanctions
Tehran could back up its defiant rhetoric by deploying air defense assets to Syria, establishing an asymmetric naval presence in the Mediterranean, smuggling more arms to the Houthis, and stepping up its ballistic missile program.
Nov 7, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran Flexes Its Muscles After the Kurdish Referendum
Given its recent military movements and high-level contacts with Turkey and Baghdad, Iran may be looking to exact an intolerable cost on the KRG.
Oct 10, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran's New Ballistic Missile May Have North Korean ICBM Links
The recent reveal indicates strong technical cooperation with Pyongyang, raising concerns that Iran might be on the path to developing a nuclear-capable ICBM down the road.
Sep 27, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran's Military Options Against Kurdish Independence
Tehran has several means of putting military and economic pressure on the Iraqi Kurds following the independence referendum, but taking action on its recent warnings could widen Kurdish discontent at home.
Sep 22, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Murmurs of a Second Cultural Revolution
Gathering IRGC frustrations over liberal domestic trends could eventually prompt dramatic intervention, with troubling regional consequences for the United States and its allies.
Aug 21, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran's National Army Reorganizes
To meet emerging threats and ensure its continued relevance, the Iranian army is seeking to become a quick-reaction force, but institutional and budgetary constraints could still prevent dramatic change.
Aug 14, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran's Space Program Emerges from Dormancy
The reported failure of the July 27 launch offers little solace to Western observers, since it likely anticipates future attempts as well as the potential for more-advanced technologies.
Aug 1, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran Missile Strikes Reveal Potential Military Weaknesses
The retaliatory attacks against alleged Islamic State facilities in eastern Syria apparently failed to hit any of their intended targets, undermining Iranian deterrence and raising questions about the effectiveness of Iran's missile force.
Jun 22, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
How Will Iran Respond to Terrorist Attacks in the Heart of the Islamic Republic?
Considering the current regional situation, the country's first serious terrorist attacks in many years could have major implications for Tehran's policies at home and abroad.
Jun 7, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
What To Expect After Iran's Election
The outcome is unlikely to bring much change to Tehran's foreign and security policy, but it will reveal how stable the Iranian system is when the powerful hardliners are decisively rejected by voters.
May 19, 2017
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Patrick Clawson
Nader Uskowi
Farzin Nadimi
Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Iran Is Still Using Pseudo-Civilian Airlines to Resupply Assad
While some international sanctions against Iranian civil aviation have been lifted, Tehran's insistence on using Mahan Air and other companies to send personnel and weapons to Syria may jeopardize the industry's future.
Apr 13, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran May Be Renewing Its Interest in Armored Warfare
The Syria war will likely spur Tehran to increase the role of armor in its future military planning, but it is still years away from developing an advanced tank force of its own.
Mar 27, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Is Iran Attempting to Thwart U.S. Naval Surveillance of Its Missile Tests?
Tehran seems eager to extend the range and capabilities of its antiship missiles, and just as eager to prevent the West from monitoring its progress toward that end, even at the risk of escalating naval tensions.
Mar 9, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran Takes Another Step Toward Fielding S-300 Missiles
If this and other recent air defense developments bear fruit, Iran might soon become self-sufficient in such technology and could even begin offering it for export.
Mar 7, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran Keeps a Lid on Its Latest 'Great Prophet' Exercise
The restrained nature of this month's military demonstration could signal a combination of dynamics in Tehran: a reaction to the Trump administration's arrival, a shift in the regime's threat assessments, or continued internal political maneuvering.
Feb 28, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
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