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Video
تحلیل کوتاه
پاسخ دریایی نامتقارن ایران به «فشار حداکثری»
سه ناظر کهنهکار در حوزه نیروهای دریایی ایران و دکترینهای دریایی آن، توانایی این کشور را برای زورآزمایی بالاتر از وزن خود در خلیج فارس ارزیابی میکنند.
۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
مایکل کانل
فرزین ندیمی
جان میلر
Brief Analysis
Shifting Tides in Libya Require More Active U.S. Involvement
Directly engaging all parties is essential if Washington hopes to advance a national dialogue and prevent a Turkish-Russian accommodation that establishes their presence in Libya indefinitely.
۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Ben Fishman
تحلیل کوتاه
طرح حشد شعبی برای اقدامات اصلاحی؛ صورتی در زیر دارد آنچه در بالاستی
اقدامات اصلاحی که از سوی رهبران حشد شعبی مطرح شده، آنقدر مبهم است که میتواند باعث تحکیم این گروه شبهنظامی به نام بهبودِ بخش امنیتی شود.
۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
مایکل نایتز
حمدی ملک
Articles & Testimony
You May Pay More at the Pump, as OPEC+ Cuts Oil Production
The cartel’s latest bid to increase profits will likely be counterbalanced by depressed summer demand and increased output by other producers.
۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Simon Henderson
تحلیل کوتاه
محصولات انبارشده: واردات غله ایران و شوکهای ژئوپولیتیک
ایران، علیرغم اعلام مکرر خودکفایی، هنوز مقادیر زیادی از محصولات اصلی کشاورزی را از خارج وارد میکند و سبد غذایی خود را در مواجهه با شوکهای عرضه، مشکلات پرداخت ناشی از تحریمها، ناپایداری زیستمحیطی و سایر مخاطرات آسیبپذیر میسازد.
۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
کوین لیم
Articles & Testimony
Annexing West Bank Territory Was Once a Taboo for Israel. No Longer.
The idea that Israelis might embrace annexation seemed extremely improbable just a few years ago, so how did we get here?
۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Netanyahu Sees a Historic Moment in Annexation. But He Might Not Be Seeing the Risks.
The prime minister has not acknowledged the important differences between this move and other recent controversies, instead making the unnecessarily dangerous bet that all the warnings will once again prove unfounded.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Erdogan’s Influence in Europe: A Swedish Case Study
In August 2019, Mikail Yüksel—a Swedish politician of Turkish origin—founded a new party in Sweden called ‘ Nyans’ (Nuance). Yüksel, formerly a member of Sweden’s small liberal, slightly left-wing, Center-party, started the new party after being forced to resign on the cusp of Sweden’s elections to the European Parliament, where
۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
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Magnus Norell
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Taking Back the Neighborhood:
The IRGC Provincial Guard's Mission to Re-Islamize Iran
In 2008, the IRGC established a new branch that remains little known or studied today: the Provincial Guard. Operating in all of Iran's thirty-one provinces plus Tehran city, the IRGC-PG carries out the regime's revolutionary aims at the local level, inculcating conservative religious values, shaping educational curricula, and even sponsoring
۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
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Saeid Golkar
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s COVID-19 Response
President Erdogan’s ever-tightening circle of policy influencers has lagged behind on proposing innovative solutions to the pandemic, giving other politicians an opening to become the main drivers of national change.
۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Deniz Yuksel
تحلیل کوتاه
توافقنامههای کمکرسانی اخیر و فرصت حمایت از زنان اردن
کمک مالی جدید آژانس توسعه بینالمللی ایالات متحده و راهبرد همکاری بیشتر در زمینه توسعه که بزودی نهایی میشود تسهیلکنندۀ اصلاحاتی است که منجر به پرورش فضای اقتصادی بهتر برای زنان و متعاقباً برای پادشاهی اردن خواهد شد.
۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
آلیسون جیکوبز اندرسون
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sooner Rather Than Later: The Demand for Decentralization in Iraqi Kurdistan
As Iraqi Kurdistan faces several severe crises simultaneously, it must evaluate the benefits and limitations of a popular call to reform and decentralize its current model of government. The Kurdistan regional government’s (KRG) current outdated model of governance will likely prove to be ineffective in handling these major challenges, revealing
۲ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
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Sardar Aziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Assad’s Forces Move Toward Daraa
At the beginning of May, the Assad regime dispatched major military reinforcements to the city of Daraa in southern Syria. Regular reports appeared that there would soon be a military operation in the province carried out with Iranian backing. In response, a new uprising broke out in Daraa, with dozens
۲ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Bassam Barabandi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sudan’s Transition: Challenges and Opportunities
Last year, the nonviolent protests of the Sudanese people triumphed over thirty years of oppression, as reflected in the Revolution’s best-known slogan: “Freedom, peace, and justice.” These three words represent the Sudanese people’s yearning to bring these ideals to their country; pressure has led to a negotiation process culminating in
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Abdelrahiem Khalifa
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkey’s Intervention in Libya Disrupts the UAE but Opens the Door for Russia
In a strong and extraordinary statement, the Pentagon accused Moscow on Tuesday of dispatching fighter jets to Libya to bolster Kremlin-linked mercenaries in support of the eastern based commander of the Libyan National Army (LNA), Khalifa Haftar. The move marks a dramatic escalation in Russia's role in the Libyan conflict
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Mohamed Eljarh
Articles & Testimony
Iran Continues Its Nuclear Work, But Is It Weapons Grade?
An upcoming IAEA report will give Washington and Europe more clarity on where the nuclear program stands and whether united Western efforts to contain it are still possible.
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's Resurgence in the COVID Era?
From Defeat to Renewal in Iraq and Syria
Two experts assess the recent attack patterns and future prospects of a group that once seemed on the cusp of defeat in both countries.
۲۹ مهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Michael Knights
Video
Brief Analysis
The Future of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces
Three experts examine one of the most sensitive problems facing Iraq's new prime minister: the future of militias that were mobilized to fight the Islamic State but have since balked at subsuming themselves to the government's authority.
۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Avoiding an Epic Mistake:
The Case for Continuing the U.S. Mission in Sinai
For almost four decades, the Multinational Force & Observers has protected Israel-Egypt peace and anchored stability in the Sinai Peninsula, but a new Pentagon initiative could end the American contribution by late next year. Defense Secretary Mark Esper has indicated that all military endeavors must now fall within a National
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Assaf Orion
Denis Thompson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Should the PA Respond to the U.S.-Israeli Annexation Plan?
Israel's newly formed unity government intends to press ahead with a unilateral action to annex Palestinian lands in the West Bank and the Jordan Valley by early July. The current plan appears to include settlement blocs and most of the 140 settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, where
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Mohammed Dajani
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