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تحلیل کوتاه
خامنهای کرونا را امنیتی میکند و سپاه پاسداران به فکر عملیات در منطقه است
با متهم کردن ایالات متحده آمریکا به استفاده از سلاح بیولوژیک و دامنزدن به نفرتپراکنی از طریق پخش اطلاعات گمراهکننده از سوی رهبری رژیم، احتمال خشونت علیه نیروها و منافع آمریکا افزایش خواهد یافت.
۲۷ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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فرزین ندیمی
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Egyptian Response to Coronavirus: Denial and Conspiracy
The coronavirus pandemic currently sweeping the world and is a new contagious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which scientists believe originated from a mutated virus carried by bats and originated in Wuhan, China December of last year. As of March 27, more than 549,105 cases
۲۷ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Mohamed Abdelaziz
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Idlib May Become the Next Gaza Strip
Given the military situation on the ground and the overriding interests of each party, the jihadist-run rebel pocket will likely be further reduced into a small, overpopulated border strip north of the M4 highway.
۲۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Fabrice Balanche
In-Depth Reports
The Outlook for Turkish Democracy:
2023 and Beyond
Over nearly two decades, Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan has managed to strengthen his hold on power despite numerous political reconfigurations. With the next presidential election scheduled for 2023, many figures within his camp are already maneuvering for leverage while the opposition mulls how to defeat him. Among his potential rivals
۲۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Nick Danforth
Fikra Forum
Most Palestinians Want to Work With Israel Against Coronavirus, Though Nearly Half Think it Is Deliberately Spread
The coronavirus outbreak is having a major effect on Israeli personal and public life, but has a lesser effect so far on the Palestinians next door in the West Bank and Gaza. Even so, an extraordinary public opinion poll conducted in those territories right in the midst of this medical
۲۵ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Year Since Baghuz, the Islamic State Is Neither Defeated nor Resurging (Yet)
Although attack statistics have declined, the continued lack of stable governance in Diyala and Deir al-Zour shows that Washington and its partners have not absorbed the lessons provided by previous insurgencies.
۲۵ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Political Battle Goes to Court
The dispute over voting for a new speaker of parliament is the latest front in determining who will form the next government, with the Supreme Court entering the fray as Netanyahu maneuvers to stay in power.
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Post-uprising Iraq: New Players and New Realities
The past several days have witnessed a great deal of political movement in Iraq as a result of the country’s remarkable current situation. As usual, the actions of Iraq’s traditional political players have remained unclear—and, like the end of a thriller, many possibilities for Iraq’s political future remain open, though
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Munqith Dagher
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Honored, Not Contained:
The Future of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces
In this detailed Policy Focus, meant as a primer for Iraqi and international agencies, leading scholars examine the current status of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces.
۲۳ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi
تحلیل کوتاه
سخنرانی نوروزی خامنهای در دوران ویروس کرونا
سخنان خامنهای بر الهام بخشیدن به ملت برای استقامت در برابر بحران متمرکز بود و اعتماد به کمکهای ایالات متحده را هم رد میکرد، هرچند به ذکر مباحث همیشگی خود در حوزه سیاست خارجی وارد نشد.
۲۳ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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عمر کرمی
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Despite Political Turmoil and Coronavirus, Iraq’s Protest Movement Continues
With neighboring Iran one of the most severely affected areas of coronavirus, Iraqi authorities are also confirming rising infections and deaths despite closing the border between the two states.
۲۳ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Azhar Al-Rubaie
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Should Have Led the Coronavirus Response. Instead, China Stepped Up.
Starting with the virtual G-20 leaders summit, the Trump administration can retake the lead by proposing working groups on a number of measures needed to stop the pandemic.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Dennis Ross
Video
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Role in Idlib and Beyond: Perspectives from Syria
How can the United States mitigate the worsening humanitarian crisis in Idlib, and what do Syrian activists on the ground want from Washington?
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Raed al-Saleh
Omar Alshogre
Rajaa Altalli
Naomi Kikoler
Brief Analysis
Don’t Count Out U.S. Oil Production as a Market-Shaper
Total U.S. production from all sources will remain the world’s largest no matter how low prices go, leaving Washington (and Texas) with considerable room to help domestic companies and press Riyadh and Moscow on stabilizing prices.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Coronavirus in the Holy Land: Israel Has Been Ready for a Crisis Such as This
Fortress Israel raised its drawbridges early, though its resultant economic and political outlook is just as uncertain as the rest of the world’s.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
In the Saudi-Russian Oil Price War, the U.S. Blinks First
This is President Trump’s dilemma: how to safeguard America’s shale-based energy independence without making apparent concessions to Moscow.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
How Ansar al-Sharia in Tunisia’s Message Framing Primed Its Members to Become Recruits for the Islamic State
By the time IS came to the fore in Iraq and Syria, many of its themes and activities were already second nature to Tunisian jihadis who had heard similar messaging at home.
۱۹ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran and the U.S. Elections: A Chance to Meddle?
With U.S. national elections in November, would Iran try to intervene in an attempt to bring about “regime change” in Washington? No doubt, Iran would like to see President Trump defeated; he not only re-instituted U.S. economic sanctions against Iran but forced many foreign companies to do the same, crippling
۱۸ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Thomas Parker
تحلیل کوتاه
فراهم کردن فرصت موفقیت برای نخستوزیر بعدی عراق
همچنانکه نامزد واجدالشرایط منتخب عراق برای دور بعدی نخستوزیری در حال گذراندن فرآیند شکننده جلب اعتماد است، واشنگتن میتواند با نادیده گرفتن موقت تحریکات شبهنظامی و همچنین با حمایت ضروری، بیسروصدا و نمادین، از اخلال در تلاشهای وی پرهیز کند.
۱۷ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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مایکل نایتز
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Migrants Likely to Remain Pawns in Turkey-EU Relations for Years to Come
With the spread of coronavirus restricting travel, European leaders are meeting virtually with Ankara this week in an attempt to resuscitate and potentially fine-tune a flawed migration deal from 2016, which has now effectively collapsed. This will come as the second attempt in less than a month to reach an
۱۷ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Anthony Skinner
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