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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
While Iran Releases some Prisoners, Ahwazi and Other Prisoners Face Imminent Death
Iran’s coronavirus outbreak has left the government struggling to respond, to the point that the regime has announced the release of 85,000 prisoners to reduce the risk of coronavirus spread in overcrowded prisons. However, this amnesty policy has excluded a significant majority of Iran’s prison population, no less likely to
۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
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Rahim Hamid
Mostafa Hetteh
Articles & Testimony
Benny Gantz Did the Right Thing by Putting His Country First
The Blue-White leader’s former allies have denounced him for caving to Netanyahu, but his conciliatory gesture is a sign of statesmanship, not weakness.
۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Italy, Libya, and the Threat of Coronavirus
Since Italy first announced its first confirmed case of coronavirus in late January, the virus has spread throughout the country with unprecedented speed. Today, Italy has become one of the major epicenters of the pandemic as the number of confirmed cases and deaths continues to climb, though restrictive social distancing
۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
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Ramy Aziz
Articles & Testimony
Trump Considers a Cameo Role in Saudi-Russia Oil Price Drama
The president’s latest statements on OPEC and the possibility of U.S. tariffs are ambiguous, but they suggest his growing exasperation with Moscow and Riyadh.
۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurdistan Region of Iraq and the Coronavirus Response–Lessons Learned
Since March 13, my family and I have been locked at home in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI), ordering all supplies and groceries via deliveries provided by the local supermarkets. As my neighbor Mr. Namiq, a public servant, put it: “Public daily routine has gotten complicated. [We have] a
۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
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Biner Aziz
Articles & Testimony
The Saudi-Russia Oil Fight Is the Last Thing the Economy Needs in a Pandemic
Both governments have gone “crazy” in the fast-moving price war, but the White House is apparently divided on who to blame and how much to get involved.
۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Three Governments Confront the Coronavirus
The rebel administration in Idlib and the Kurdish-led government in the northeast have been more proactive and transparent than the Assad regime, but their populations still need urgent, direct international aid—without the UN’s imprimatur if necessary.
۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Oula A. Alrifai
تحلیل کوتاه
باتلاق کرونای حزبالله: فرصتی برای توانمندسازی ارتش لبنان
اکنون که حزبالله متوجه شده تلاشهایش برای پنهان کردن موارد ابتلا به ویروس کرونا بینتیجه مانده، واشنگتن باید مُصرانه از بیروت بخواهد، بدون توسل به وضعیت اضطراری کامل، پرسنل پزشکی و مرزبانی ارتش لبنان را به کار بگیرد.
۳۱ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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حنین غدار
مقالهها و دیدگاهها
سبکسازی تحریمها برای کمک به ایران در مقابله با کرونا ضرورت ندارد
واشنگتن میتواند بدون تغییر بنیادین در ساختار تحریمها علیه ایران، به این کشور کمک برساند: با تشریح واضحتر مقررات تجارت اقلام مورد استفاده مردمی، گسترش فعالیت سازمانهای غیردولتی، و با روشن ساختن گزینههای مالی موجود پیش روی تهران.
۳۱ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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کاترین باوئر
دانا استرول
Articles & Testimony
Love Thy Neighbor: Saudi Arabia Needs Regional Help to End the War
After five years of fighting in Yemen, Riyadh has been left to deal with the conflict largely on its own, but the Gulf states will need to band together again if they hope to facilitate another transition of the sort seen in 2011.
۳۱ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy in the Middle East Amid Great Power Competition
Viewing regional issues through this broader strategic lens will require Washington to accept painful trade-offs and take a tougher stance with difficult allies.
۳۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
How to Serve U.S. Interests by Saving Kurdistan’s Economy
Unless Washington intervenes with cost-effective, forceful measures, Iraqi Kurdistan could be the first Middle Eastern economy to implode under the pressure of coronavirus and low oil prices.
۳۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Michael Knights
تحلیل کوتاه
با کووید-۱۹، وابستگی ایران به چین بیشتر میشود
پکن بهتدریج به تنفسگاه اقتصادی، پشتیبان دیپلماتیک، و توانبخش نظامی ایران بدل شده و ایرانیها امروز بیش از هر زمان دیگری به این تکیهگاه نیاز دارند.
۲۷ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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کوین لیم
تحلیل کوتاه
خامنهای کرونا را امنیتی میکند و سپاه پاسداران به فکر عملیات در منطقه است
با متهم کردن ایالات متحده آمریکا به استفاده از سلاح بیولوژیک و دامنزدن به نفرتپراکنی از طریق پخش اطلاعات گمراهکننده از سوی رهبری رژیم، احتمال خشونت علیه نیروها و منافع آمریکا افزایش خواهد یافت.
۲۷ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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فرزین ندیمی
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Egyptian Response to Coronavirus: Denial and Conspiracy
The coronavirus pandemic currently sweeping the world and is a new contagious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which scientists believe originated from a mutated virus carried by bats and originated in Wuhan, China December of last year. As of March 27, more than 549,105 cases
۲۷ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Mohamed Abdelaziz
Brief Analysis
Gantz’s Gamble
In the name of Israeli unity, the former Blue-White leader has opted to detonate his bloc and allow Netanyahu to remain in power until next year, with uncertain consequences for domestic politics, West Bank annexations, and other issues.
۲۷ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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David Makovsky
In-Depth Reports
The Outlook for Turkish Democracy:
2023 and Beyond
Over nearly two decades, Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan has managed to strengthen his hold on power despite numerous political reconfigurations. With the next presidential election scheduled for 2023, many figures within his camp are already maneuvering for leverage while the opposition mulls how to defeat him. Among his potential rivals
۲۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Nick Danforth
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Idlib May Become the Next Gaza Strip
Given the military situation on the ground and the overriding interests of each party, the jihadist-run rebel pocket will likely be further reduced into a small, overpopulated border strip north of the M4 highway.
۲۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Fabrice Balanche
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Year Since Baghuz, the Islamic State Is Neither Defeated nor Resurging (Yet)
Although attack statistics have declined, the continued lack of stable governance in Diyala and Deir al-Zour shows that Washington and its partners have not absorbed the lessons provided by previous insurgencies.
۲۵ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Most Palestinians Want to Work With Israel Against Coronavirus, Though Nearly Half Think it Is Deliberately Spread
The coronavirus outbreak is having a major effect on Israeli personal and public life, but has a lesser effect so far on the Palestinians next door in the West Bank and Gaza. Even so, an extraordinary public opinion poll conducted in those territories right in the midst of this medical
۲۵ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
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