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All Policy Analysis by Ben Fishman
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Brief Analysis
The IMF and UAE Swoop In to Ease Egypt’s Economic Crisis
Cairo’s main lender and top Gulf donor have come to the rescue once again, offering major loans, investments, and Central Bank transfers that could halt the country’s latest slide despite short-term consumer pain.
۷ مارس ۲۰۲۴
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Libya’s Armed Group Catch-22
Because the government ceded too much authority to local militias and tribal intermediaries, no one can dismantle them without risking their lives.
۱۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۴
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Jordan Still Has a Vital Role to Play in the Gaza Crisis
Despite the canceled visit to Amman, President Biden should keep King Abdullah front and center in any efforts to ease humanitarian conditions in Gaza.
۱۹ اکتبر ۲۰۲۳
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Libya Floods: As Families Search for Loved Ones, Politicians Trade Blame
Derna’s future and Libya’s broader political fate will be determined by the race for recovery and the battle of narratives over who is responsible for the tragedy.
۱۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۳
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
The Rise and Immediate Fall of Israel-Libya Relations
The scandal surrounding a surprise meeting between their foreign ministers has cratered any hope of upgraded ties with Israel—though it could cause a political shake-up in Libya.
۲۹ اوت ۲۰۲۳
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Niger Coup Threatens U.S. Strategy on Counterterrorism and Russia
An entrenched military junta could jeopardize America’s primary CT partner in West Africa, create ripple effects for security beyond the Sahel, and give Russia’s Wagner Group a new opening on the continent.
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۲۳
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Ben Fishman
Anna Borshchevskaya
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Did the EU Bail Out Tunisia’s Kais Saied?
Washington may be tempted to defer Tunisia’s problems to Europe, but a new MOU risks perpetuating the country’s economic crisis and worsening the plight of migrants.
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۳
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Sabina Henneberg
Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Wagner vs. Russia’s Defense Ministry in the Middle East
Russia’s domestic military crisis could hold significant consequences for its regional operations, from heightening the risk of clashes with U.S. forces in Syria to putting a public face on its destabilizing activities in Libya.
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Ben Fishman
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Perpetual Deadlock Is Limiting Libya’s Potential
Oil is flowing and warring factions are not actively warring, but this illusion of stability can disappear at any time unless further steps are taken to produce a legitimate government.
Jun 17, 2023
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Changing Egyptian-Turkish Dynamics May Create Opportunities for Libya
Turkey’s tragic earthquake and Egypt’s economic crisis may lead both governments to ease their conflicts over Libya.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Egypt’s Economic Freefall Provides an Opening for U.S. Assistance—and Leverage
Given the tall task of managing public dissent and meeting IMF reform requirements without angering his military base, President Sisi may be more willing to shift his problematic stances on human rights and foreign policy.
۲۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۳
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Ben Fishman
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Reexamining U.S. Aid to the Middle East:
Ideas for Advancing Both Governance and Democracy
Massive U.S. investment has failed to improve outcomes since the Arab Spring uprisings. A more targeted, sensitive approach could yield better results and promote regional stability.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۲۲
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Ben Fishman
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Reform, Protest, Change
Brief Analysis
Biden Heads to Egypt Amid Economic Protests and Libyan Gridlock
Although climate issues will by definition headline the latest COP summit, Egypt’s human rights record, simmering protest movement, and questionable policies in neighboring Libya will provide plenty of additional fodder for Biden’s discussions with Sisi.
۱۰ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
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David Schenker
Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Ten Years After Benghazi: Getting Past Groundhog Day
Of all the conflict-riven countries in the Middle East, Libya still has the greatest potential for resolution in a way that could benefit the wider region, Europe, and the United States.
October-November 2022
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Ben Fishman
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Timeline of Tunisia's Constitutional Crisis and the U.S. Response
An infographic illustrating President Saied's controversial political moves since summer 2021 and the steps U.S. officials have taken to discourage authoritarian backsliding.
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲
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Ben Fishman
Kyle Robertson
Articles & Testimony
Libya Could Make or Break Biden’s Middle East Oil Diplomacy
Increased Saudi production will mean little if Libyan production remains unreliable, so it's time to play hardball with Haftar.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
A Longer and Stronger Deal for Jordan
The kingdom can only transition from its crisis footing to a period of sustained economic growth if it receives more assistance over the coming period.
۲۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۲
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Can Turkey and the UAE Help Break Libya’s Deadlock?
Finding a compromise timeline for elections will be delicate, but the recent thaw in relations between Ankara and Abu Dhabi removes a significant external impediment to progress.
۱۴ مارس ۲۰۲۲
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Libya’s Renewed Legitimacy Crisis
Washington and Europe need to clearly signal that they will not endorse any new governing arrangements until all local actors peacefully adhere to a negotiated political roadmap.
۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۲
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Ben Fishman
In-Depth Reports
Power to the People?
Scrutinizing the U.S.-Arab Effort to Supply Energy to Lebanon via Syria
Residents of the beleaguered country desperately need electricity, but a U.S.-Arab scheme carries complications that could benefit Syria's Assad regime.
۱۶ دسامبر ۲۰۲۱
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Katherine Bauer
Ben Fishman
Hanin Ghaddar
Simon Henderson
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
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