All Policy Analysis by Grant Rumley

A security expert provides an in-depth assessment of Beijing’s military activities, funding, and strategic intentions in the region, including recommendations to prevent these efforts from harming U.S. alliances and interests.

U.S. officials should remind their partners abroad that Beijing’s support for Tehran is jeopardizing regional stability.

By sharing very specific concerns directly with the United Arab Emirates, the White House and Congress were rewarded with tangible action on a key company’s ties to Beijing—though more such engagement is needed to keep regional partners aware of U.S. risk tolerance.

Greater decisiveness would have shortened the conflict, lessened the toll on global maritime trade, and reassured U.S. partners in the region and beyond.

A regularly updated compendium of Beijing’s reactions to the Gaza war, including analysis of subtle shifts in its traditional approach of trying to please all sides.

A panel of experts discuss the status of the crisis after nearly two weeks of fighting, focusing on President Biden’s visit, the contours of humanitarian assistance, ongoing de-escalation efforts, and more.

The Biden administration views its defense support to Israel as sufficient at the current level of hostilities, but that may change as the war progresses and, potentially, expands.

In discussing a potential deal with Israel, Riyadh is pressing Washington for expedited access to more advanced U.S. weaponry.

As Moscow grapples with battlefield losses and other challenges, traditional Russian clients are considering alternative sources, emerging exporters are amplifying their sales pitches, and governments are building up their domestic defense industrial bases.

The North African country has maintained a close rapport with its traditional security partner, but a perpetual desire for balance and autonomy could offer opportunities for Western countries, including the United States.

در بلندمدت، افزایش جریان تسلیحات احتمالا باعث تشدید تنش‌ها در منطقه خواهد شد، کشورهای عربی را وادار خواهد کرد تا زرادخانه‌های خود را تقویت کنند، و همه نیروهای آمریکا و شرکای آن را، که با گروه‌های نیابتی تهران مقابله می‌کنند، به خطر خواهد انداخت.

چین میانجی توافق شد، ولی این به معنای نظمی جدید به رهبری چین در خاورمیانه نیست ‌ــ‌در واقع، چه بسا تنش‌های منطقه‌ای را تشدید کند.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has had a ripple effect on global politics, including in the Middle East.

گفتگوهای رئیس‌جمهور چین درباره اشاعه هسته‌ای، بازارهای انرژی، همکاری‌های دفاعی و سایر موضوعات، تضادهای زیادی با ملاقات‌های تابستانی رئیس‌جمهور بایدن در عربستان سعودی داشت و با برخی انتقادات غیرمنتظره از سوی ایران مواجه شد.

Regional governments will continue to balance between Beijing and Washington, so policymakers should focus on tipping the scale in America’s favor, countering the narrative of U.S. withdrawal, and avoiding unnecessary escalation with China.

A more assertive Beijing means that Washington must work harder to protect its traditional partnerships and secure sensitive information.

A former Pentagon advisor testifies on how the war might affect Moscow's ability to sell arms to MENA governments and project power in the region.

The United States should use enticements as well as sanctions to deter friends from buying Russian arms.

Three experts discuss whether the war might alter Washington’s calculus on rapprochement with Turkey, regional military deployments, and wider great power competition.

In what has become a major test of America’s shift to great power competition, Washington must weigh its desire to maintain a close security partnership with the UAE against Abu Dhabi’s growing ties with China.