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Policy Analysis
All Policy Analysis by Mehdi Khalaji
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Brief Analysis
Ayatollah Khamenei: Pessimistic Negotiator, Optimistic Strategist
Despite offering nominal support for Iran's nuclear negotiating team, Khamenei and his circle continue to criticize the talks and could sabotage them outright if internal dynamics go against President Rouhani.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Salafism as a National Security Threat for Iran
Although Tehran worries about internal threats from Salafi jihadists, it may well cooperate with such groups if they attack Western interests.
۲۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
۱۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
President Rouhani and the IRGC
Although President Rouhani has persuaded the Supreme Leader to adjust the IRGC's economic functions, he has not challenged its role in shaping Iran's nuclear policy.
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
۲۷ نوامبر ۲۰۱۳
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Leaders Emphasize Limitations of the Nuclear Agreement
While the Supreme Leader has expressed cautious support for Iran's nuclear negotiating team, conservative media outlets and officials are emphasizing that the new deal is only partial and that Tehran could readily back out.
۲۵ نوامبر ۲۰۱۳
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
۲۱ نوامبر ۲۰۱۳
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Iranian Consensus Does Not Necessarily Mean a Good Deal for the West
There is a broad consensus among Iran's elite that a nuclear deal with Washington would serve Iran's hegemonic objectives. In this view, the real barrier to such a nuclear accord is not the United States but Europe and Israel, supported by the Saudis. The ongoing nuclear talks are playing very
۱۲ نوامبر ۲۰۱۳
◆
Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
۲۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۳
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
The Rise of Persian Salafism
More Iranians are turning to Salafism out of disenchantment with the Islamic Republic's Shiite creeds, creating a clear threat to the regime's rule.
۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۳
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
۲۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۳
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
۲۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۳
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Unexpected Iranian Dispute on Syria
President Rouhani seems determined to maintain his influence over Iran's foreign policy, signaling a potential showdown with hardliners over continued support for the Assad regime.
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۳
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Syria as a Spoiler in Iran's Foreign Policy
If Tehran continues its unwavering support for the Syrian regime, it could dash President Rouhani's hopes of reducing Western pressure on Iran.
۲۷ اوت ۲۰۱۳
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
۵ اوت ۲۰۱۳
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
۳۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۳
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Next Cabinet: Technocratic and Security-Focused
All evidence indicates that key intelligence and political ministers in the next cabinet will be confidants of the Supreme Leader, whose main policy views remain unchanged.
۳۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۳
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Losing Bet in Egypt
Morsi's ouster is another blow to Tehran's political and ideological standing in the region.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۳
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Rowhani Front
The new president-elect's supporters want a better economy and integration into the international community more than they want nuclear glory.
۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۳
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Did Sanctions Shape the Iranian Election?
The recent presidential election in Iran proved that the Islamic Republic's instinct for self-preservation trumps its ideology. Hassan Rouhani, the current representative of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the Supreme National Security Council and former head nuclear negotiator, won the election in the first round, a total surprise for
۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۳
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
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