Recent Institute Analysis
Sistani vs. the Militias: The Future of Iraqi Sovereignty
The international community needs to pay more attention to developments in Najaf, where Sistani-backed groups are forcefully pushing back against Iran but still face the longer-term question of who will continue his message.
Sep 14, 2021◆
- Hamdi Malik
Reform, Protest, Change
Testimony from Institute Scholars
Assessing Lebanon’s Political Paralysis, Economic Crisis, and Challenges for U.S. Policy
A former assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs diagnoses the country's incapacitated institutions and prescribes remedies for its entrenched corruption and Iranian/Hezbollah domination.
Jul 29, 2021◆
- David Schenker
In Focus: Renewed U.S. Diplomacy with Iran
For Diplomacy to Work, Iran Must Understand That It Cannot Overplay Its Hand
Although the Biden administration strongly favors a diplomatic path to ensuring Iran never obtains a nuclear weapon, it needs to show that it will exercise other options if Tehran makes a viable deal impossible.
Apr 26, 2021◆
- Dennis Ross
Deterring Iran in the Gray Zone Insights from Four Decades of Conflict
The United States has repeatedly failed to understand the unique requirements of gray zone deterrence. A U.S. strategy would not only facilitate more successful diplomacy with Tehran but also enhance efforts to counter other actors such as China and Russia.
Apr 14, 2021◆
- Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Study: Jihadist Foreign Fighter Flows
Sudden Succession Studies
Palestinian Politics After Abbas Sudden Succession Essay Series
Throughout his tenure as leader of the Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas has studiously avoided grooming a successor, instead consolidating his control over numerous Palestinian entities and sidelining officials he perceived as threatening to his rule. When he eventually exits the scene, Abbas will leave many leadership roles to be filled—including in the PLO, Fatah movement, and national security agencies.
May 5, 2020◆
- Ghaith al-Omari
- Ehud Yaari
Oman After Qaboos: A National and Regional Void Sudden Succession Essay Series
The Gulf nation of Oman has been ruled by Sultan Qaboos since 1970, when he overthrew his own father. The seventy-nine-year-old leader has enjoyed wide popularity, but he has a history of illness. To ensure national stability and continued progress, his successor will have to enact far-reaching economic reforms, aimed especially at broadening the economy beyond its current oil dependence. At the same time, a new sultan will need to navigate challenges posed by powerful neighbors such as Iran, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia.
Dec 30, 2019◆
- Simon Henderson
A Fifty-Year Reign? MbS and the Future of Saudi Arabia Sudden Succession Essay Series
Whether the young Saudi crown prince ultimately ascends to the throne will entail plenty of plot twists, but it also holds serious implications for the kingdom, the region, and U.S. interests.
Apr 22, 2019◆
- Simon Henderson